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. However, economic warnings suggest that the Central Bank may need to withdraw about 60% more of these assets — roughly 2.5 trillion rubles — if pressures on oil prices and the ruble continue.
This scenario indicates a deeper economic severity. The Central Bank is transferring reserve assets to unknown accounts, a typical defensive strategy when resources are limited and threats are real.
Currency Weakness and Inflation: The Results of Economic Severity
The potential outcomes are clear: reserves weaken, pressure on the exchange rate increases, and inflation grows. This is a typical vicious cycle of economic severity — the less reserves, the weaker the currency, and the higher the inflation.
Current movements are clear warning signs. Those who understand market dynamics will closely monitor these indicators because data does not lie. The Central Bank is preparing for the worst-case scenario, and economic policy is moving under real severity pressure, not theory.
This is not a time for superficial optimism. Economic severity requires tough decisions, and liquidating gold reserves is one of those decisions indicating the depth of the problem.