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 — Recently, the A-share market has experienced continuous fluctuations, with sectors showing significant differentiation. Shanghai Silver Fund believes that the medium-term upward trend of the A-share market has not fundamentally changed. The core logic supporting this judgment includes three aspects: First, the global “asset scarcity” backdrop continues, coupled with frequent geopolitical conflicts worldwide, and the long-term trend of “patient capital” flowing into the stock market remains unchanged; second, domestic policies to “counteract involution” are being steadily advanced, with improving corporate profitability expectations gradually heating up, providing a support for the capital market; third, the current rapid adjustment in sectors is more a reaction to short-term market sentiment and trading levels, and has not shaken the medium- to long-term upward trend.
Regarding medium- to long-term investment opportunities, Shanghai Silver Fund indicates that three types of opportunities can be focused on: First, AI-related industries. Under the policy guidance of technological independence and controllability, domestic support policies for the AI industry chain continue to be implemented, and it is expected that global capital expenditure in the computing power sector will further expand, with AI end-user penetration steadily increasing. Future investment opportunities include domestically produced computing power chains, AI + gaming, and other areas. Second, the direction of enhancing Chinese brand competitiveness. Chinese brand manufacturing has evolved from “cheap goods” to “high-quality, affordable, and stable profits,” and has achieved “leapfrog development” in multiple fields. Among them, the overseas expansion of domestic brands—especially in innovative drugs, electrical equipment, engineering machinery, and other segments—has achieved overtaking or continuous increase in market share, which warrants close attention. Third, resource commodities. Resources such as copper and minor metals possess genuine scarcity and anti-inflation properties, and are easy to form stable supply alliances. Related assets have stable cash flows and highlight long-term allocation value.
“Industries like non-ferrous metals have experienced significant gains and high congestion earlier, and currently require some time for adjustment and digestion,” Shanghai Silver Fund believes. The recent adjustment in this sector is more driven by trading factors rather than fundamentals. Coupled with the actual impact expected after the new Federal Reserve Chair takes office, which is better than market pessimistic expectations, the sector may present more attractive buying opportunities after the adjustment.