Polymarket Follow-Trade Do's and Don'ts! Step-by-step Guide to Filtering Genuine Profitable Wallets

If you want to follow trades and earn passive income on Polymarket, don’t just focus on who’s making the most money — that’s the fastest way to get burned.
I made this mistake when I first started playing too. I would blindly follow wallets with high profits, only to find myself either unable to keep up or losing interest after a while. The key lesson I learned: filtering is more important than blindly following. Here’s a proven, practical filtering method to help you find traders who can consistently profit.
Step 1: Use tools for initial screening, filter out the junk
Open
• Total profit: $15,000–$400,000 (too low isn’t meaningful; too high might be institutional accounts)
• Win rate: ≥ 70% (below this, long-term following is risky)
• Total trades: ≥ 20 trades (too few trades might just be luck)
• Current holdings: ≥ 2 positions (wallets with no open positions are pointless to follow)
⚠️ Important reminder: Any wallet making hundreds of trades a day, just skip! 99% are market-making bots, with positions held for less than 10 minutes. They’re not trying to predict outcomes but just capturing spreads. Ordinary users following these are just providing liquidity.
Step 2: Manual review, pick “long-term earners,” avoid overnight viral stars
Filtering data is just the first step; true experts rely on visual judgment:
• Look at the time span: choose wallets that have been steadily profitable over the past 2-3 months. Avoid those that suddenly shot up the ranks. Many wallets rely on insider info for quick gains, then disappear. For example, there was an account that precisely bet on the Iran attack, earning millions in hours — would you dare follow that?
• Focus area: truly skilled traders usually specialize in 1-2 fields, like politics, esports, or movie box office. Those dabbling in everything are likely arbitrage bots running automated programs.
• Check drawdowns: you can better see their strength during losses than during gains! Use a tool to view their capital curve — small, steady drawdowns and upward trends are reliable. Big swings are stressful and risky.
Step 3: Avoid these scam wallets at all costs
Some wallets look flashy but are actually dangerous. Just skip them:
• Extremely high win rate + high-frequency trading: 99% win rate with over 50 trades a day is almost certainly a spread arbitrage bot. Following them won’t make money because their profits come from millisecond-level buy-sell spreads.
• One-time big wins and then lying low: they make a huge profit once and then stop trading. Most likely based on insider info on a single event, with no sustainability. Recently, many such addresses have been exposed on Polymarket, betting on one attack and then disappearing.
• Niche market traders: always trading in illiquid markets. Following them might turn you into a bagholder for their cash-out. Research shows that 3.7% of bot accounts contribute 37% of all platform trading volume. Following these can turn you into a liquidity provider for bots.
Step 4: Once you find a good wallet, go all in — speed is key to profit
Don’t hesitate after finding a wallet you like! The more followers it has, the worse your entry point will be, and your profits will be diluted.
For quick following, I use this bot — it’s pretty convenient:
Recently Recommended High-Performance Wallets
I’ve compiled some wallets with very stable recent performance for you to参考 their strategies:
• Win rate over 90%
• Focus solely on CS:GO and LoL esports, maximum focus
• Performance: doubled their funds in one month
Traders who focus on a single niche are often more reliable than “jack-of-all-trades” experts. Data shows humans can’t deeply engage with 300 topics simultaneously; smart money tends to specialize in a few areas.
Final reminder: This is just a filtering strategy sharing, not investment advice. The Polymarket market is quite complex now, with insider trading, order attacks, and arbitrage bots. Be cautious when following. Don’t go all-in at once; start small, test gradually, and scale up once you get a feel for it.