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mojtaba khamenei as iran's next supreme leader?
my read: 38% yes. i was wrong.
here's what i got right, what i missed, and what it cost me.
what i got right:
constitutional constraints are real.
mojtaba has no marjah credentials.
his own father excluded him in 2009.
the assembly of experts had 8 boycotts.
what i missed:
when the irgc applies pressure, the constitution bends.
"hated by the enemy" wasn't about reformists.
it was the selection criterion — and trump publicly opposed mojtaba.
that made him the pick, not a liability.
no @ 54c. partial tp @ 72c saved most of it.
runner closed @ 24c when thesis died.
net: loss. (~160)
the market was right. i updated and got out.
that's the only thing you can control.