Funds flow into heavy-asset, low-elimination-rate assets. In February, domestic CPI and PPI rebounded, and domestic demand stabilized. Rising oil prices pushed inflation higher, putting the Federal Reserve in a dilemma---0309 Macro Summary

SnapshotLaborer · 2026-03-09T20:06:52+00:00

The market's enthusiasm for AI has returned to rationality, with a focus on heavy asset investments. Domestic CPI has risen due to Spring Festival consumption, and PPI decline has narrowed, indicating domestic demand stabilization. Rising oil prices have increased inflationary pressure in the United States, leading the Federal Reserve to face a dilemma between growth and inflation.

SnapshotLaborer

2026-03-09 20:06:52

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The market’s enthusiasm for AI is gradually returning to rationality. Investors are focusing on HALO concepts, with capital flowing into assets characterized by heavy assets and low淘汰率, which is evident in the US energy and industrial sectors as well as in China’s petroleum, petrochemical, and utilities industries.
In February, domestic CPI increased by 1.3% year-on-year, with core CPI showing a strong month-on-month rebound, indicating the release of Spring Festival consumption demand and stabilization of domestic demand. PPI narrowed its year-on-year decline to 0.9% and has been positive for five consecutive months month-on-month, mainly driven by demand for non-ferrous metals, oil and gas, and AI-related sectors. However, prices for coal and automobiles remain under pressure.
A significant rise in oil prices will substantially boost US inflation, making it more difficult to achieve the 2% inflation target. Amid conflicts between the US, Israel, and Iran, and the K-shaped divergence in the US economy, the coexistence of a weak non-AI sector and a highly leveraged AI sector presents a dilemma for the Federal Reserve in balancing growth and inflation.

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