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Xinfire Research Institute: Market reaches the expected breakthrough of $74,000, with institutions densely releasing signals of position-building, confirming the bottom.
Crypto World News: XinHuo Research Institute’s latest market analysis shows that the cryptocurrency market is performing significantly better than the US stock market, with Bitcoin breaking through the $74,000 mark to reach a new high since February this year. This rally effectively confirms XinHuo Research Institute’s previous accurate prediction that the market has entered a “high cost-performance zone,” indicating that the bottom formation stage is basically complete.
The analysis points out that this breakout is supported by multiple verification signals. In terms of capital flow, XinHuo OTC business has recently seen a significant increase, with the highest daily trading volume growing by 441.36% (more than four times) compared to the average daily volume in February 2026, and a weekly increase of 92.02%, reflecting strong institutional interest. Spot ETFs for BTC and ETH have continuously shown net inflows, with a total net inflow of over $760 million in the past week. Coinbase’s premium has shifted from negative to positive, indicating strong confidence among US institutional buyers. Additionally, several major institutions (DAT) have rarely increased their holdings simultaneously, and the Fear & Greed Index has rebounded from extreme fear to the 30-40 range.
These data typically suggest that major funds have completed low-level accumulation, retail investor panic has been effectively alleviated, and market bottom characteristics are becoming more evident. Looking ahead, although the capital signals show clear signs of bottoming out, macroeconomic conditions and long-term technical factors still exert some pressure. The uncertain Middle East geopolitical situation has led to rising oil prices, which may trigger a rebound in global inflation expectations and disrupt the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting pace.
XinHuo Research Institute maintains its core view: at this stage, it is not recommended to engage in overly aggressive short-term trading, but it could be a good window for medium- to long-term investors to accumulate positions. Investors should remain cautiously optimistic, closely monitoring support levels at $68,600 and $71,000, as well as resistance levels at $74,000, $76,000, and $82,000.