Futures
Access hundreds of perpetual contracts
TradFi
Gold
One platform for global traditional assets
Options
Hot
Trade European-style vanilla options
Unified Account
Maximize your capital efficiency
Demo Trading
Introduction to Futures Trading
Learn the basics of futures trading
Futures Events
Join events to earn rewards
Demo Trading
Use virtual funds to practice risk-free trading
Launch
CandyDrop
Collect candies to earn airdrops
Launchpool
Quick staking, earn potential new tokens
HODLer Airdrop
Hold GT and get massive airdrops for free
Pre-IPOs
Unlock full access to global stock IPOs
Alpha Points
Trade on-chain assets and earn airdrops
Futures Points
Earn futures points and claim airdrop rewards
Geopolitics acts as a high-risk investment asset, where its price decreases with falling stock prices and rises with increasing stock prices. However, the period from February 28 to April 14 contradicts this notion entirely. Stock prices stabilized, while gold and silver prices, the two assets presumed to absorb geopolitical fears, declined significantly. In contrast, Bitcoin's price increased by 17%.
Three possible explanations, none of which conflict with each other. First, financial institutions are moving toward Bitcoin as a more resilient and tradable store of value, replacing gold. Second, the Iranian war disrupted physical commodity markets, as gold and silver pass through supply chains directly affected by the conflict, whereas there are no supply chains for Bitcoin that can be disrupted. Third, the market may have decided that Bitcoin's scarcity argument is more sustainable than gold's in a world where the Strait of Hormuz could be closed overnight.
Data does not determine which explanation is correct but indicates that the decoupling occurred during the longest period of geopolitical tension in the Middle East since 2003.