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I'm not very good at... that skill of seeing through hot topics at a glance. When I see the group rushing in en masse, I also get itchy fingers. But now I've learned to be a bit smarter: when hot soup is served, don't rush to drink it first. First, see who's stirring, how long they've been stirring, and whether you're the last to scoop out the residue.
In plain English, the attention economy is basically using your emotions as fuel. The faster hot topics rotate, the more likely you are to keep paying tuition repeatedly for "missing out." My current clumsy approach is: only follow narratives I understand, write a one-sentence reason for entering, and if it doesn't hold, just withdraw. Even if it really takes off later, so be it.
Recently, on-chain data tools and tagging systems have been criticized for lagging or misleading, and I feel it deeply... I used to be very superstitious about those "smart money" tags, but later I realized they might also be scripts others are showing you. Anyway, don't chase hot soup—first see if it's hot or not. If it's hot, let it cool for a while.