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The market is clearly dominated by the fear of missing out (FOMO) sentiment, and Trump's actions and comments will be the focus of market attention in the coming days.
The following are some additional points and emphasis:
Trump's speech and policies:
The 'final speech' on the 19th, the inauguration on the 20th, and the administrative agenda on the 21st could indeed have a significant impact on the market, especially the cryptocurrency market.
The market is very sensitive to whether Trump will mention Bitcoin or propose policies related to cryptocurrency.
Any positive remarks about cryptocurrencies could lead to a rapid market uptick, while the opposite could cool market sentiment.
Market reaction:
The current market reaction is more based on emotions rather than macro data. Even if the price of Bitcoin rebounds to 102k, it is considered as "garbage time" because the market focus is entirely on Trump's possible policy direction.
This emotion-driven market will exhibit extreme volatility in the short term, especially on days close to important events.
Japanese monetary policy:
The Bank of Japan's interest rate decision meeting is indeed a potential market volatility point.
The expectation of interest rate hikes may have a negative impact on global markets, especially the cryptocurrency market. We have indeed seen similar market reactions in history.
Investors need to be vigilant about this potential short-term market change.
Investment strategy:
In this uncertainty, investors need to be cautious and avoid chasing highs when emotions are high. It is particularly wise to stay alert and rational in the short term, considering the changes in market liquidity during holidays and the potential volatility that policy announcements may bring.
Expectations for altcoins:
For holders of altcoins, it may be unrealistic to expect Trump's "shout orders".
The true driving factors of the market lie in policy transparency and macroeconomic environment, rather than specific mention of a particular currency.
Investors need to adjust their strategies based on actual market dynamics and risk assessments.
In short, the next few days will be a crucial period for market sentiment, investors need to keep a clear mind, follow the actual policy trends, rather than be led by market sentiment.