Insiders are quietly pressing SHORT on $ETH /USDT while the daily trend screams bullish. $ETH /USDT - SHORT Trade Plan: Entry: 2617.45 – 2627.41 SL: 2684.58 TP1: 2575.82 TP2: 2544.75 TP3: 2498.14 Why this setup? Why now? The 1h price sits at 2622.72, perfectly aligning with the entry zone around 2622.43 to catch a pullback. The 15m RSI reading of 54.27 shows neutral momentum, meaning a bearish continuation is not overextended. The 1h ATR of 19.918832 confirms that a move toward TP1 at 2575.82 and TP2 at 2544.75 is a realistic measured target. The daily trend remains bullish, which makes this a dangerous counter-trend setup where the invalidation level of 2509.26 is the absolute line in the sand. Debate: Are we about to break TP2 or is the bullish 1D trend about to trap these shorts? ⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR. Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

Episode 3 | Bollinger Bands + Moving Averages: Distinguish Range-Bound Markets from Breakouts and Reduce Losses from False Breakouts In range-bound markets, prices repeatedly move between the upper and lower Bollinger Bands, and frequent breakouts are mostly false signals, making stop-losses easy to sweep repeatedly; in trending markets, prices move in one direction along the Bollinger Bands, while moving averages reinforce the direction. Simple practical rules: When prices move back and forth around the Bollinger middle band and the moving averages converge, prioritize identifying a range-bound market, do not chase breakouts, and trade the range near the upper and lower bands; ​ Only pay close attention to breakout opportunities when the moving averages begin to diverge and the candlesticks hold above the upper Bollinger Band or below the lower Bollinger Band. Many people lose money because they mistake false breakouts in a range-bound market for the start of a trend, open a highly leveraged position all at once, and then get stopped out immediately by a wick. Tools are only auxiliary and cannot guarantee that a market move will materialize, so position sizing and stop-losses remain essential. Follow me. Next episode: the mindset that torments traders the most—the “obsession with recovering losses” after a losing trade. $ETH

Will major coins “Bitcoin and Ether” continue to fall? Why have they stubbornly refused to drop? Let’s have Shiyuan analyze it! First, Bitcoin (BTC): Currently at 81186, it surged from 75975 to 81933, up nearly 6,000 points! Many people have been waiting for a pullback, but the longer they wait, the more it rises. Why can’t it fall? The reasons go beyond technical factors: 1. The U.S. Treasury is injecting liquidity, long-term U.S. Treasury yields are falling, and funds are flowing into risk assets; 2. Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike have plunged, with the probability of a September hike cut to rock bottom; 3. After breaking above 78000 on heavy volume this week, overhead trapped positions have been absorbed, and 80000 has become strong support; 4. Low-volume range-bound trading over the weekend, with no major sell-off, naturally means it cannot fall! Will it fall? Yes! But not now: Only a break below 80300 would open up downside room, targeting 80000 → 79500! Above 80300, the bullish structure remains unchanged, and pullbacks are opportunities to go long! Now, Ether (ETH): Currently at 2629, it surged from 2412 to 2669 this week, rising even more sharply than Bitcoin Why isn’t Ether falling? Because institutions are buying aggressively: 1. Spot ETH ETF net inflows exceeded $10 billion in Q3, with $216 million flowing in on September 11 alone, led by BlackRock; 2. Corporate treasuries increased their ETH holdings by more than $15 billion in Q3; 3. It rises faster than Bitcoin, so it naturally also holds up better during pullbacks! A break below 2500 would turn the short-term trend bearish, with 2500 → 2460 as the downside targets! Above 2500, remain bullish; pullbacks are opportunities! It’s not that it won’t fall; rather, a cluster of macro tailwinds and continued institutional inflows are keeping it from falling in the short term! But news comes and goes quickly, so keep a close eye on the Federal Reserve’s remarks next week—a hawkish shift could trigger a pullback at any time! Don’t call a top before the trend breaks, and don’t short before support breaks. Follow the levels, and only change direction after a breakout!$BTC $ETH