BlockBeats news, on August 29, the U.S. July PCE inflation data met expectations, driving the dollar's continued rise. Meanwhile, the market is closely following President Trump's attempts to pressure the Fed into lowering interest rates. Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Waller reiterated a dovish stance, and Marc Chandler, Managing Director of Bannockburn Global Forex, stated that in light of the deteriorating labor market, he supports a Fed rate cut in September while advocating to overlook tariff-related price pressures. (Jin10)

According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 reports, analyst Giuseppe Dellamotta stated that the market's reaction to the US PCE data is not significant, which is not surprising given that the data is largely in line with expectations.

BlockBeats news, on August 29, S&P 500 index futures and Nasdaq 100 index futures both fell after the PCE data was released. (Jin10)

The core PCE price index in the United States recorded a year-on-year rate of 2.9% in July, the highest since February 2025.

According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 reports, the United States will release the July core PCE data at 20:30 tonight, which will be the first major data test faced by Powell. In addition, Cook's hearing regarding the lawsuit against Trump is scheduled for 22:00 tonight, and both may impact the market.

Wall Street traders are betting that the Fed will cut interest rates, and Powell's dovish speech has triggered a cross-market pump, with the market anticipating a 25 basis point cut at the September meeting. Several Fed officials will speak next, and data releases will impact subsequent policies.

BlockBeats news, on August 18, Nick Timiraos, a Wall Street Journal reporter known as the "Fed's mouthpiece," posted on social media that economists expect the core PCE inflation rate for July to be 0.28% (annualized at 3.4%) after converting CPI and PPI data into the PCE index, which will raise the year-on-year increase to 2.9%. The overall PCE inflation rate is expected to be relatively moderate, with a month-on-month increase of 0.21% and a year-on-year increase maintained at 2.6%.

Jin10 data reported on August 12, analyst Jersey's initial view on the July US CPI report is: the bond market seems to worry that CPI will rise, but the overall monthly CPI data is 0.2%, which indicates that the PCE data we receive before the September meeting may be close enough to the 2% target, allowing the Fed to ease monetary policy in September. We still believe that the market is expected to rise further.

The U.S. inflation data for June slightly exceeded expectations, with the core PCE price index rising 2.8% year-on-year, and the overall PCE index rising 2.6% year-on-year. The better-than-expected inflation report may complicate the Fed's path to interest rate cuts.

According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 reports, the U.S. core PCE price index annual rate for June is 2.8%, expected 2.70%, and the previous value revised from 2.70% to 2.8%. The U.S. core PCE price index monthly rate for June is 0.3%, expected 0.30%, and the previous value is 0.20%.

The core PCE price index in the United States recorded a year-on-year increase of 2.8% in June, reaching a new high since February, while the market expected it to be 2.7%.

The market expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged, and PCE data may influence the direction of rate cuts by the end of the year. A more moderate PCE policy and Crypto Assets policy framework could push Bitcoin back up to $120,000. If interest rates remain unchanged, traders will pay attention to the trends from the September meeting.

On July 16, Jin10 reported that the U.S. Producer Price Index for June remained flat, easing some of the hawkish pressure on the Fed from yesterday's Consumer Price Index report, leading to a volatile movement in the dollar. Forecast analysts will combine these two inflation indicators to estimate the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index favored by the Fed, which will be released later this month. Currently, there are only a few preliminary signs that tariffs are putting pressure on the prices of certain goods, while the aforementioned data suggests that PCE may soften. Uncertainty may lead the Fed to maintain its current policy for a longer time, which could support the dollar.

According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 reports, Trump has recently intensified his trade rhetoric, increasing the uncertainty regarding future inflation and the Fed's policy trajectory. J.P. Morgan Global Research has revised its economic forecast, now expecting: the U.S. GDP growth rate for 2025 to be 1.3% (down 0.2% from previous expectations), PCE price inflation to be 2.7% (up 0.2% from previous expectations), and core PCE price inflation to be 3.1% (up 0.3% from previous expectations).

Recent minutes from the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) indicate that, amid escalating global trade tensions, The Federal Reserve (FED) has adopted a cautious stance. Participants noted that Trump's tariff measures are raising new inflation concerns, necessitating a tentative rate cut strategy from the FED. Crypto Assets investors need to closely monitor upcoming economic data (especially inflation reports CPI/PCE) and speeches from FED officials to look for any signs of a policy shift, which would be a key trigger for a change in market sentiment. In the long term, the onset of a rate cut cycle is still viewed as a potential catalyst for a bull run in the crypto market.

The Federal Reserve (FED) June meeting minutes indicate that CPI remains elevated, the unemployment rate is low, and the labor market is stable, with steady rise in GDP for the second quarter. May consumer price inflation was 2.3%, and core PCE was 2.6%, both lower than the beginning of the year, with high short-term inflation expectations and stable long-term expectations.

Gate News bot message, according to Wu's Weekly Report, the core PCE data for May in the United States has been released. The Federal Reserve (FED) Chairman Powell stated during the congressional hearing that we need to wait and observe before determining the Intrerest Rate policy. Key focus items for the coming week include the release of the U.S. June non-farm payroll report and the advancement of the American Beautiful Act.

BlockBeats news, on June 27, the U.S. core PCE annual rate unexpectedly rose to 2.7% in May, higher than the expected 2.4%, with a monthly rate of 0.2%, lower than the expected 0.3%; the overall PCE annual rate also rose to 2.3%, indicating that inflationary pressures remain. The Michigan University consumer confidence and inflation expectations released at the same time showed that the forecast was flat compared to the previous period, indicating that the market remains cautious about the economic outlook, and the American public maintains a vigilant attitude towards prices. Bitunix analysts suggest: core annual inflation exceeding expectations is a cold shower for the market, limiting the short-term action ability in the crypto market. Investors are advised to reduce high-leverage positions and control their positions, waiting for policies and market sentiment to clarify further before intervening, focusing on conservative operations in the short term.

Odaily News PCE data softened, and US Treasury yields slightly declined. The US Dollar Index DXY short-term dipped 10 points, currently reported at 97.15, with May's core PCE rising above expectations. (Jin10)

BlockBeats news, on June 27, the US May Core PCE Price Index year-on-year recorded 2.7%, higher than the expected 2.6%, reaching a new high since February 2025. The US May Core PCE Price Index month-on-month recorded 0.2%, while the market expected it to remain at 0.1%. (Jin10)

Odaily News According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in July is 79.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 20.7%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in September is 8.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 73.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 18.5%. (Jin10)

Jin10 data reported on June 27, XTB's Kathleen Brooks stated in a report that, supported by the rising prospects of interest rate cuts, the US stock market performed better than the European stock market this week. The easing of Middle East conflicts, relief from tariff pressures, and the follow on technology stocks also contributed to the US stock market outperforming European stocks. The focus is on the US personal consumption expenditure data to be released tonight. "Unless there is a significant unexpected upward surprise in the data, this momentum may push the S&P 500 index to a new high."

Gate News bot news, due to the Israel-Iran ceasefire suppressing safe-haven demand, while investors await the US PCE data, gold prices fell on Friday and are set to record a second consecutive week of decline.

① 14:45 France June CPI MoM preliminary ② 17:00 Eurozone June Industrial Sentiment Index ③ 17:00 Eurozone June Economic Sentiment Index ④ 19:30 The Federal Reserve (FED) Williams chairs meeting ⑤ 20:30 Canada April GDP MoM ⑥ 20:30 US May Core PCE Price Index YoY ⑦ 20:30 US May Personal Spending MoM ⑧ 20:30 US May Core PCE Price Index MoM ⑨ 21:15 The Federal Reserve (FED) Harker and Governor Cook attend event ⑩ 22:00 US June University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index final ⑪ 22:00 US June one-year inflation expectation final ⑫ Next day 01:00 US total oil rig count as of week ending June 27

BlockBeats news, on June 27, the US core PCE price index for May will be released tonight at 20:30, with many institutions, including Barclays, Standard Chartered, and Goldman Sachs, generally expecting a value of +2.6% according to a Reuters survey. (Jin10)

Gate News bot reports that according to FXStreet, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is an index that measures the value of the dollar against a basket of six major currencies. During the Asian session on Wednesday, the index continued to maintain a defensive position, reporting around 97.25, which is the lowest level in three and a half years.

① 14:00 Germany July Gfk Consumer Confidence Index ② 18:00 UK June CBI Retail Sales Balance ③ 19:00 UK Central Bank Governor Bailey delivers keynote speech ④ 20:30 US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending June 21 ⑤ 20:30 US Q1 Real GDP Annualized Quarter-on-Quarter Final ⑥ 20:30 US Q1 Real Personal Consumption Expenditure Quarter-on-Quarter Final ⑦ 20:30 US Q1 Core PCE Price Index Annualized Quarter-on-Quarter Final ⑧ 20:30 US May Durable Goods Orders Month-on-Month ⑨ 22:00 US May Existing Home Sales Index Month-on-Month ⑩ 22:30 US EIA Natural Gas Inventory for the week ending June 20 ⑪ Next day 02:30 European Central Bank President Lagarde delivers a speech

Golden Finance reports that the Federal Reserve (FED) FOMC statement: Inflation remains slightly high. The Federal Reserve (FED) FOMC economic projections: The median core PCE inflation expectations at the end of 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.1%, 2.4%, and 2.1%, respectively. (The March projections were 2.8%, 2.2%, and 2.0%)

BlockBeats news, on June 1st, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr stated that "despite Bitcoin prices briefly pulling back to $103,000–$104,000, the fundamentals remain bullish: trading platform reserves continue to decrease, corporate purchases continue to pressure supply, while long-term holders continue to accumulate, forming a 'buffer' below the market. Meanwhile, the macro situation shows mixed signals: PCE inflation slowing eases some of The Federal Reserve's policy pressures, but tariff uncertainty and rising yields strengthen the 'risk-averse' atmosphere, suppressing the market's willingness to rise. The benchmark scenario for next week is for Bitcoin prices to consolidate sideways between $103,000 and $110,000 until new driving factors emerge. If trading volume increases and momentum breaks 20%, along with a breakthrough above 110,

Odaily News Olu Sonola, an analyst at Fitch, pointed out in a report that the Federal Reserve may see the mild personal consumption expenditure inflation report as the "calm before the storm." He wrote: The Federal Reserve will continue to wait for the storm to arrive—unless consumer spending contracts significantly and the unemployment rate rises rapidly. Sonola stated: "This report shows that American consumers remain resilient." (Jin10)

Jin10 data reported on May 30, analysts from ING, Chris Turner, pointed out that the euro's trend is more likely to continue to be dominated by the performance of the US dollar. He stated that the market has fully digested the expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the European Central Bank on June 5. The US PCE data is the biggest catalyst for the euro today, and we expect this data may keep it within the short-term range of 1.1300-1.1400 USD.

Gate News bot, "Federal Reserve Mouthpiece" Nick Timiraos, said that today's "excellent" inflation report needs to pay attention to two potential problems: (1) Analysts expect commodity price increases to accelerate in May (especially June) as the "Liberation Day" tariffs come into effect. (2)**Given that inflation has cooled by mid-2024, the year-on-year base itself is no longer dominant** (Note: The core PCE price index in the United States recorded an annual rate of 2.5% in April, the lowest since March 2021).

On May 30, officials from The Federal Reserve (FED) pointed out that the inflation report needs to follow the potential rise in commodity prices due to the implementation of tariffs and the issue that the year-on-year base for inflation is no longer advantageous. In April 2021, the annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States was 2.5%, marking a new low since March 2021.

According to Gate News bot, U.S. consumers began to slow down their spending in April after experiencing their strongest month since the start of 2023, while inflation remains modest, which is in line with the slowdown in the economy. Compared to the same period last year, the core PCE price index in the United States recorded an annual rate of 2.5% in April, the smallest annual increase in more than four years. The data sheds light on the underlying anxiety of many U.S. consumers about the economy after the weakest consumption quarter in nearly two years. While high tariffs on imported goods have not yet been universally reflected in rising commodity prices, consumer sentiment has plummeted and personal financial prospects are at historically low levels. Another data released on Friday showed that the U.S. merchandise trade deficit narrowed sharply in April due to the sharpest drop in imports on record (19.8% month-on-month, the largest drop on record).

Jin10 data reported on May 30, data shows that after experiencing the strongest month of consumption since the beginning of 2023, U.S. consumers began to slow down their spending in April, while inflation remains moderate, which is consistent with the economic slowdown. Data released on Friday shows that U.S. real personal consumption expenditures increased by 0.1% this month after rising 0.7% in the previous month. The U.S. core PCE price index rose by 0.1% in April compared to the previous month. Compared to the same period last year, the U.S. core PCE price index recorded a year-on-year increase of 2.5% in April, which is the smallest annual rise in over four years.

Gate News bot reported that U.S. short-term interest rate futures experienced a pullback after the PCE data was released, with traders still betting on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

Gate News bot: In April, the U.S. core PCE price index annual rate recorded 2.5%, hitting a new low since March 2021, with market expectations at 2.5%. The U.S. core PCE price index month-on-month rate in April was 0.1%, expected at 0.10%, with the previous value revised from 0.00% to 0.1%. The U.S. personal spending month-on-month rate in April was 0.2%, expected at 0.20%, with the previous value at 0.70%.

BlockBeats News, on May 30, the core PCE price index in the United States recorded an annual rate of 2.5% in April, the lowest since March 2021, and the market expected 2.5%. The US core PCE price index for April came in at 0.1% m/m versus 0.10% expected, and the previous value was revised to 0.1% from 0.00%. U.S. personal spending in April was 0.2% m/m, with an expectation of 0.20% and a previous value of 0.70%. (Golden Ten)

The United States will release the April PCE data, and the market expects a slowdown in the inflation index growth. However, the tariff effect may lead to a rebound in inflation, while the decline in personal consumption and income indicates weak demand. Investors are concerned about the inflation cycle, and the Federal Reserve may adjust its policies, with the market expecting the interest rate to drop to 47%. Experts suggest following the inflation data and market reactions, cautiously responding to potential fluctuations, and closely observing the support and resistance areas between $104,800 and $110,000, while also preparing for risk management and asset allocation.

Golden Ten Data reported on May 30 that gold futures prices fell due to the strengthening of the US dollar. Although gold prices are still up more than 22% year-to-date, they are expected to fall this week. Gold appears to be under pressure as the US dollar strengthens as another safe-haven asset in the face of market volatility. For now, the focus has shifted to the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data, which is scheduled to be released later on Friday. The inflation report, which is favored by the Fed, is expected to show a slowdown in price growth last month, opening up room for the Fed to ease monetary policy. In general, falling interest rates increase the attractiveness of non-interest-producing gold.

Gate News bot News: On Friday, the crypto market sentiment was sluggish, XRP lost key support levels, Bitcoin and other major coins also fell, and traders are still waiting for the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge - core personal consumption expenditures (PCE). XRP fell below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) for the first time since April 10, suggesting that the downward momentum is gaining momentum, and despite the increasing demand for XRP as a financial asset for businesses, it does not appear to have been an effective boost to prices against the backdrop of the overall market downturn.

The United States will announce the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, with the April PCE price index expected to increase by only 0.1% month-on-month and a year-on-year growth rate falling to 2.2%. The core PCE month-on-month growth rate is expected to be 0.1%, with the year-on-year growth rate remaining at 2.6%. The inflation effects of the tariffs imposed by the Trump administration are beginning to show, and inflation may rebound to 3%. The Federal Reserve (FED) may pause interest rate cuts, with the market's probability of a rate cut in September dropping to 47%, as the economy may face new challenges in an inflation cycle.

Gate News bot message, according to Wu's macro analysis report, this week the financial market will welcome several important data releases. These include the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May monetary policy meeting, the US April PCE price index data, and the latest quarterly financial report from tech giant Nvidia. Source: Wu Says

Important events next week include: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's graduation speech, U.S. stock market closure, Federal Reserve's Williams attending the Bank of Japan meeting, Bitcoin conference speech, U.S. unemployment claims data, GDP revision, monetary policy meeting minutes, and the release of the core PCE price index year-on-year data.

On May 20, Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos stated that the decline in the Producer Price Index (PPI) will lead to a moderate Core PCE inflation reading. The Core PCE is expected to rise by about 0.13% in April, but March data may be revised upward, resulting in a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 2.6% for the Core PCE.

On May 15th, Jin10 reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell did not discuss the current monetary policy or economic outlook during his speech on Thursday, although he did indicate that he expects the personal consumption expenditure price inflation in April to fall to 2.2%—a moderate figure, but it may not yet reflect the impending tariff-driven price rises. Nevertheless, this still reflects an "historically unusual outcome" of disinflation occurring under the current strategy of the Federal Reserve without causing significant harm to the economy, indeed achieving a "soft landing."

Odaily News The Federal Reserve (FED) Chairman Powell stated that he would not comment on the outlook or monetary policy; the April PCE may be around 2.2%, and he is considering revising the communication content of the Federal Reserve, given the level of inflation, the idea of a moderate overshoot of inflation after economic weakness has become irrelevant. (Jin10)

The inflation rate in the United States fell to 2.3% in the month when Trump imposed global tariffs, lower than expected. Although Trump reduced some tariffs, economists warn that there may still be upward price pressure in the future. Officials from The Federal Reserve (FED) expect inflation to rise further. Trump has called for the FED chairman to cut interest rates, but the FED prefers the PCE target. The PCE fell to 2.3% in March, above the FED's 2% target.

Jin10 data, May 13 - Goldman Sachs has adjusted its expectations for the timing of the Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut to December (previously expected in July). The bank's analysts stated: "Given the development of the situation and the significant easing of financial conditions last month, we have raised our forecast for the annual economic growth rate in the fourth quarter of 2025 by 0.5 percentage points to 1%, and reduced the likelihood of an economic recession occurring in the next 12 months to 35%. At the same time, we have lowered our core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation path expectations, forecasting a peak of 3.6% (previously expected at 3.8%)."

Jin10 data reported on May 8, Goldman Sachs economists expect the U.S. core PCE inflation to rise to 3.8% by the end of 2025 (previously predicted at 3.5%), and 2.7% by the end of 2026 (previously predicted at 2.3%). Compared to these forecasts, the latest released core PCE data is only 2.6%. Goldman Sachs stated that the dollar weakened due to tariff news, and this weakening amplified the direct impact of tariffs on prices rather than offsetting this impact.