The Chicago Fed estimates that the U.S. unemployment rate has remained relatively stable.

Jin10 Data reported on October 27 that an estimate released by the Chicago Federal Reserve on Monday showed that the U.S. unemployment rate has remained stable over the past two months, while the government shutdown has delayed the release of official data. The real-time unemployment rate forecast from the regional Federal Reserve indicates that the unemployment rate in October is 4.35%, compared to 4.34% in September. The latest official data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released in early September showed that the unemployment rate in August was 4.3%. The Chicago Federal Reserve stated that its estimate may only partially reflect the impact of the government shutdown on federal employee layoffs. Its methodology combines data from official sources as well as channels from the private sector, such as job websites, surveys, and payroll companies.