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I noticed that many traders overlook a really interesting tool: the Swing Failure Pattern, also called SFP. It's a concept that truly changes the way you read candlestick charts.
So here’s the idea behind SFP trading: it’s pretty simple but incredibly effective. Imagine the price rises and surpasses a previous high, or falls and breaks a previous low. Normally, we expect it to continue in that direction, right? Well, the SFP is exactly the opposite. The price penetrates that level but cannot hold. It quickly closes back in the opposite direction, and that’s when you see a possible trend reversal. It’s like the market tests resistance, finds it too strong, and turns around.
To recognize a true SFP, there are a few important details to check. First, the price must really sweep through that previous high or low. Then, and this is crucial, the candle must close above the previous low if it’s a bullish SFP, or below the previous high if it’s a bearish SFP. But watch out for one thing: only the wick should exceed the level. If the body of the candle closes on the other side of the level, it’s no longer a valid SFP, and the trend may simply continue.
What I like about SFP trading is that you can apply it on any timeframe. Whether it’s daily, intraday, or swing trading, the pattern works. I’ve seen very clear bearish reversals when the price tried to go up, and equally clear bullish reversals when it tried to go down. It’s a real game-changer for anticipating trend changes.
And you, are you already using SFP in your analysis? I’m interested to know how you incorporate it into your strategy. Feel free to share your observations in the comments!