When I first entered the circle, I heard that "if it falls, just do Margin Replenishment," and I strictly followed it! As a result, my assets kept decreasing with each replenishment, and I eventually realized that what I was replenishing was not the margin, but a cable car ticket to the mountain top, successfully buying in at the halfway point! Now, looking at the Candlestick of that coin, we are like the most familiar strangers; it knows me, but my Wallet no longer recognizes it. #我的币圈搞笑瞬间
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FatYa888
Cryptocurrency Trading for 11 years, Heavy Position in Spot for the long term. In the new year, may our wallets blossom like spring flowers, with a continuous flow of wealth that cannot be stopped.
FatYa888
Majia opened a long order for $ZEC , and currently the price at 450 is relatively good in terms of cost performance for going long. Set the stop loss directly at 420. ZEC has also reached the support level on the daily chart. From a short-term trading perspective, going long at this position is more cost-effective than shorting. However, in the long term, I am bearish on ZEC because the speculative cycle of this bull run for ZEC has likely ended. Therefore, I still hold the short order, and if ZEC effectively breaks below 420, it will directly see 300. #反弹币种推荐
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Ybaser:
Thank you for the information ℹ️:View More
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EagleEye:
This is a really high-quality analysis.:View More
The Crypto Assets market is transitioning from a four-year bull-bear cycle to a stock market-like structure.
Bitcoin's five bull market cycles and their growth rates
1. The first bull market cycle ( from October 5, 2009 to June 8, 2011 ) growth: 41,771 times, duration: 611 days.
2. The second bull market cycle ( from November 18, 2011, to November 29, 2013, with a growth rate of 621 times and a duration of 742 days.
3. The third bull market cycle ) From January 14, 2015 to December 17, 2017 ( Increase: 130.5 times, Duration: 1068 days
4. The fourth bull market cycle ) from December 15, 201
Bitcoin's five bull market cycles and their growth rates
1. The first bull market cycle ( from October 5, 2009 to June 8, 2011 ) growth: 41,771 times, duration: 611 days.
2. The second bull market cycle ( from November 18, 2011, to November 29, 2013, with a growth rate of 621 times and a duration of 742 days.
3. The third bull market cycle ) From January 14, 2015 to December 17, 2017 ( Increase: 130.5 times, Duration: 1068 days
4. The fourth bull market cycle ) from December 15, 201
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Ybaser:
The bullish market is at its peak 🐂 go go go:View More
#Gate广场圣诞送温暖 The Fed is highly likely to cut interest rates in December, so after the rate cut, will it rise or fall???
Polymarket predicts that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has surged from 20% to over 80%. A V-shaped recovery has emerged.
I think it mainly depends on whether the hawkish or dovish cuts rates. Currently, market news says that Treasury Secretary Basant said Trump will announce the new Fed chair list before Christmas.
On December 17, the Fed's interest rate decision is expected to issue a hawkish rate cut. If Trump announces a new appointment the n
Polymarket predicts that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has surged from 20% to over 80%. A V-shaped recovery has emerged.
I think it mainly depends on whether the hawkish or dovish cuts rates. Currently, market news says that Treasury Secretary Basant said Trump will announce the new Fed chair list before Christmas.
On December 17, the Fed's interest rate decision is expected to issue a hawkish rate cut. If Trump announces a new appointment the n
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Ybaser:
HODL Tight 💪:View More
Fed Beige Book: Economic activity has remained largely unchanged in recent weeks, with increasing polarization among consumers.
The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending November 22 recorded 216,000, lower than the expected 225,000 and the revised previous value of 222,000, marking the lowest level since the week of April 12, 2025.
JPMorgan economists have changed their forecast, believing that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in December, which reverses the bank's judgment a week ago that policymakers would delay rate cuts until January next year. #Gate
View OriginalThe number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending November 22 recorded 216,000, lower than the expected 225,000 and the revised previous value of 222,000, marking the lowest level since the week of April 12, 2025.
JPMorgan economists have changed their forecast, believing that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in December, which reverses the bank's judgment a week ago that policymakers would delay rate cuts until January next year. #Gate
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Ybaser:
Hurry up and enter a position! 🚗:View More
The showdown is about to begin tonight - will it strongly break through 3000, or unexpectedly fall below 2800? The answer is all hidden in tonight's initial jobless claims data! The market is about to explode, will you dare to follow?
Last Friday, the President of the New York Federal Reserve was very dovish, instantly igniting the market! ETH surged from the low of 2600, approaching the critical fortress of 3000! High-ranking officials of the Federal Reserve have continuously spoken in favor of interest rate cuts, completely heating up market sentiment! Bulls are retaliating wildly, and t
Last Friday, the President of the New York Federal Reserve was very dovish, instantly igniting the market! ETH surged from the low of 2600, approaching the critical fortress of 3000! High-ranking officials of the Federal Reserve have continuously spoken in favor of interest rate cuts, completely heating up market sentiment! Bulls are retaliating wildly, and t
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Sakura_3434:
Sit tight and hold on, we are about to To da moon 🛫:View More
Currently, MicroStrategy is considering mortgaging the company's holdings of $BTC to obtain financing, and then using the cash raised to continue purchasing BTC, and then mortgaging the BTC purchased to obtain cash financing to continue buying BTC. Doesn't this operation seem a bit like stepping on the left foot with the right foot? I'm familiar with this; in 2019, I was liquidated in a cycle loan 😂.
#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
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The two important data points that are late tonight could very well trigger the bull run!
The market is now waiting for a clear signal of interest rate cuts—if retail sales and PPI data show signs of weakness, it would be equivalent to directly handing the Federal Reserve a petition for rate cuts. The weaker the data, the stronger the expectation for a shift in liquidity, which serves as the strongest catalyst for Bitcoin, an asset sensitive to interest rates.
Remember this logic chain: economic slowdown → Federal Reserve takes a step back → market liquidity improves → risk assets are repriced
The market is now waiting for a clear signal of interest rate cuts—if retail sales and PPI data show signs of weakness, it would be equivalent to directly handing the Federal Reserve a petition for rate cuts. The weaker the data, the stronger the expectation for a shift in liquidity, which serves as the strongest catalyst for Bitcoin, an asset sensitive to interest rates.
Remember this logic chain: economic slowdown → Federal Reserve takes a step back → market liquidity improves → risk assets are repriced
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Sakura_3434:
1000x Vibes 🤑:View More
#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
Shanzhai season? Most shanzhai are still between unlocked and unlocked.
Standard roughly unlocks >80% or only 1 to 2 years remaining unlocking period.
1. $INJ (Injective)
Unlock progress: ≈100%,
2. $LDO (Lido)
Circulated ≈89%,
3. $IMX （Immutable）
Unlock Progress ≈89%
4. $TIA (Celestia)
Circulation ≈84.5%,
5. $AXL (Axelar) unlock progress ≈65.7%
7. $Render (Render)
Circulation ≈80.5%, most of the early batches of locked assets have been mostly released, and before 2031, it will mainly be protocol inflation.
Second, the mainstream VC unlock is still a long way off, and it can
View OriginalShanzhai season? Most shanzhai are still between unlocked and unlocked.
Standard roughly unlocks >80% or only 1 to 2 years remaining unlocking period.
1. $INJ (Injective)
Unlock progress: ≈100%,
2. $LDO (Lido)
Circulated ≈89%,
3. $IMX （Immutable）
Unlock Progress ≈89%
4. $TIA (Celestia)
Circulation ≈84.5%,
5. $AXL (Axelar) unlock progress ≈65.7%
7. $Render (Render)
Circulation ≈80.5%, most of the early batches of locked assets have been mostly released, and before 2031, it will mainly be protocol inflation.
Second, the mainstream VC unlock is still a long way off, and it can
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Discovery:
Buy To Earn 💎:View More
The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in December is currently 67%.
Analyzing whether the Fed will cut interest rates should not rely on non-farm employment data, because the data serves zz, and when the need to cut interest rates arises, a significant downward adjustment will be made.
When judging whether the Fed will cut interest rates, there are two points to pay attention to: one is whether it should cut, and the other is whether it dares to cut.
1. Should we lower it: This does not require much discussion, as the interest rate cuts that started on September 24 of last year ind
View OriginalAnalyzing whether the Fed will cut interest rates should not rely on non-farm employment data, because the data serves zz, and when the need to cut interest rates arises, a significant downward adjustment will be made.
When judging whether the Fed will cut interest rates, there are two points to pay attention to: one is whether it should cut, and the other is whether it dares to cut.
1. Should we lower it: This does not require much discussion, as the interest rate cuts that started on September 24 of last year ind
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Sakura_3434:
Ape In 🚀:View More
BlackRock deposited 2822 BTC and 36,200 ETH into CB#Gate广场圣诞送温暖 Prime. BlackRock is really dedicated; the first thing they do every day at work is dump and dump. 😂😂😂
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Sakura_3434:
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Currently, there is basically no long order liquidity below $BTC , and everyone who should go long has pretty much done so.
Currently, there is a large amount of long order liquidity only in the range of 68000 to 74000, but it is not suitable to go directly to this price in the short term. Let's bounce back first and then drop; the first target is to bounce back around 90000.
#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
Currently, there is a large amount of long order liquidity only in the range of 68000 to 74000, but it is not suitable to go directly to this price in the short term. Let's bounce back first and then drop; the first target is to bounce back around 90000.
#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
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thanks for the good information and sharing:View More
[Next Week Alert] As everyone knows, the Fed went dovish on Friday to save the markets. Next week’s market action could be even more exciting, so here’s a preview for everyone! 📝
This week not only brings consumer data, but also the Fed’s favorite PCE, and finally Thanksgiving—things are moving fast!
1️⃣ Tuesday night is the main event: the US will release revised September retail sales data. As you know, 70% of US GDP depends on consumption, so any movement in this data shakes the market—hence the “scary data” nickname. We’ll also be watching PPI, a leading inflation indicator, so don’t take
View OriginalThis week not only brings consumer data, but also the Fed’s favorite PCE, and finally Thanksgiving—things are moving fast!
1️⃣ Tuesday night is the main event: the US will release revised September retail sales data. As you know, 70% of US GDP depends on consumption, so any movement in this data shakes the market—hence the “scary data” nickname. We’ll also be watching PPI, a leading inflation indicator, so don’t take
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Ybaser:
Watching Closely 🔍:View More
Several senior Federal Reserve officials have taken a hawkish stance, explicitly opposing a rate cut in December. Boston Fed President Collins stated that the current monetary policy is appropriate, inflation remains above the 2% target, financial conditions are loose, and there is no need for a rate cut in December. Cleveland Fed President Mester reiterated her opposition to a rate cut, expressing concerns that high inflation and loose financial conditions could increase risks. Dallas Fed President Logan said that inflation is still high and showing signs of picking up, with the decline slowe
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#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
Why do I say that in a bear market, the only thing you can hold long-term is $BTC ?
Buying BTC is a demand in itself, because BTC provides security.
I need security, so I buy BTC.
Only when people have security do they pursue other things.
$ETH and $SOL themselves are useless; you need to buy something, and buying those things requires ETH and SOL, so you end up buying ETH and SOL.
For example, if I need to buy Trump tokens, I have to buy some SOL first.
If you simply buy ETH and SOL on the secondary market with USDT, it's because you think some people need ETH and SOL to purch
View OriginalWhy do I say that in a bear market, the only thing you can hold long-term is $BTC ?
Buying BTC is a demand in itself, because BTC provides security.
I need security, so I buy BTC.
Only when people have security do they pursue other things.
$ETH and $SOL themselves are useless; you need to buy something, and buying those things requires ETH and SOL, so you end up buying ETH and SOL.
For example, if I need to buy Trump tokens, I have to buy some SOL first.
If you simply buy ETH and SOL on the secondary market with USDT, it's because you think some people need ETH and SOL to purch
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Discovery:
Watching Closely 🔍:View More
Ethereum MicroStrategy Bitmine holds 3.56 million $ETH , with an unrealized loss of $4 billion. Will it blow up???
Bitmine is accumulating ETH again. 8 hours ago, they bought the dip with over 17,000 coins, bringing their total for the week to over 60,000 coins, costing nearly $190 million. Now, they hold a total of 3.56 million ETH at an average price of around $4,000. Their paper loss has already exceeded $4 billion, while the company's market cap is only $7.4 billion, meaning half their assets are tied up in this.
The core question is: how much money does Bitmine have left? They have roughl
Bitmine is accumulating ETH again. 8 hours ago, they bought the dip with over 17,000 coins, bringing their total for the week to over 60,000 coins, costing nearly $190 million. Now, they hold a total of 3.56 million ETH at an average price of around $4,000. Their paper loss has already exceeded $4 billion, while the company's market cap is only $7.4 billion, meaning half their assets are tied up in this.
The core question is: how much money does Bitmine have left? They have roughl
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#我对Gate广场的建议分享
As a heavy user of Gate Plaza, I am overall very satisfied with its experience, especially the community updates and the related token discussion features. To help elevate Plaza to the next level, I would like to propose a few optimization suggestions:
I. Content Distribution Optimization
1. Algorithm Upgrade: Improve the timeliness and interaction weighting of the "Discover" section, optimize or merge the "Latest" section to filter out spam posts, and refine the "Hot" content.
2. Content Categorization: Add labels to dynamic content (such as market analysis, candlestick teachi
View OriginalAs a heavy user of Gate Plaza, I am overall very satisfied with its experience, especially the community updates and the related token discussion features. To help elevate Plaza to the next level, I would like to propose a few optimization suggestions:
I. Content Distribution Optimization
1. Algorithm Upgrade: Improve the timeliness and interaction weighting of the "Discover" section, optimize or merge the "Latest" section to filter out spam posts, and refine the "Hot" content.
2. Content Categorization: Add labels to dynamic content (such as market analysis, candlestick teachi
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Sakura_3434:
Just go for it💪:View More
The decline in each BTC bear market has been gradually weakening.
2011: -94%
2014: -85%
2018: -83%
2021: -75%
2026: How much of a correction do you think we'll see?
So if this cycle truly weakens, a drop to the -60% to -65% range would actually be completely within a reasonable volatility range.
Based on this magnitude, the BTC bear market bottom would be around $50,000. According to the most recent decline, doesn't that mean the bear market is about to bottom out soon? So it would be more reasonable to see another rebound before another drop.
#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
2011: -94%
2014: -85%
2018: -83%
2021: -75%
2026: How much of a correction do you think we'll see?
So if this cycle truly weakens, a drop to the -60% to -65% range would actually be completely within a reasonable volatility range.
Based on this magnitude, the BTC bear market bottom would be around $50,000. According to the most recent decline, doesn't that mean the bear market is about to bottom out soon? So it would be more reasonable to see another rebound before another drop.
#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
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Sakura_3434:
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If the next altcoin season arrives, this list will be the key to wealth.
Major crypto sectors and their leading projects:
(Save for later reference)
Stablecoins + Yield Farming — $ENA , $ONDO , $CPOOL , $SYRUP
Neo-Banking — $ETHFI , $NEXO , $WXT , tria
Privacy — $ZEC , $FIRO , $DASH
Perp DEXes — $HYPE , $DYDX , $GMX , $ASTER , $AEVO
AI Computing — $TAO , $AKT , $IO , $ICP
AI Agent Tools and Marketplaces — $FET , $AIA
GPU Economics for AI and Media — $RENDER , $AKT , $IO
RWA/Treasury Tokenization — $ONDO , $POLYX , $CFG , $RIO
Institutional Lending and Payment Infrastructure — $CPOOL , $
View OriginalMajor crypto sectors and their leading projects:
(Save for later reference)
Stablecoins + Yield Farming — $ENA , $ONDO , $CPOOL , $SYRUP
Neo-Banking — $ETHFI , $NEXO , $WXT , tria
Privacy — $ZEC , $FIRO , $DASH
Perp DEXes — $HYPE , $DYDX , $GMX , $ASTER , $AEVO
AI Computing — $TAO , $AKT , $IO , $ICP
AI Agent Tools and Marketplaces — $FET , $AIA
GPU Economics for AI and Media — $RENDER , $AKT , $IO
RWA/Treasury Tokenization — $ONDO , $POLYX , $CFG , $RIO
Institutional Lending and Payment Infrastructure — $CPOOL , $
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Sakura_3434:
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Sudden plunge in the crypto market with no obvious negative news, but there are two main reasons:
First, the European session weakened and U.S. stock futures were sluggish, putting pressure on risk assets. On Friday, funds were unwilling to hold positions overnight and chose to cash out and exit, leading to selling pressure and price drops.
Second, the Governor of the Bank of Japan signaled a rate hike, triggering a surge in risk-off sentiment in a sensitive market. The U.S. stock market fear index VIX rose to 27.24, impacting cryptocurrencies.
It is advised not to blindly bottom-fish. Strictl
View OriginalFirst, the European session weakened and U.S. stock futures were sluggish, putting pressure on risk assets. On Friday, funds were unwilling to hold positions overnight and chose to cash out and exit, leading to selling pressure and price drops.
Second, the Governor of the Bank of Japan signaled a rate hike, triggering a surge in risk-off sentiment in a sensitive market. The U.S. stock market fear index VIX rose to 27.24, impacting cryptocurrencies.
It is advised not to blindly bottom-fish. Strictl
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Ybaser:
Watching Closely 🔍:View More