Research

Gate Research: On December 15, the crypto market remained under pressure, with BTC and ETH consolidating at low levels while GT showed relative strength. FHE (+95.2%) surged on strong momentum from privacy computing narratives, Chainlink partnership, and ecosystem incentives; ICE (+46.8%) rallied amid speculative hype over token migration and mainnet transition; BAS (+48.2%) climbed sharply, driven by ERC-8004 protocol upgrades. Persistent structural selling in options continued to suppress BTC upside, with OG holders selling volatility diverging from ETF-driven call buying. Ant International is reshaping corporate treasury management using blockchain, AI, and tokenized deposits. Stable's on-chain activity has lagged expectations post-mainnet launch, highlighting ongoing challenges for differentiated stablecoin public chains.

Dual-currency investment has attracted attention due to its simple structure and transparent returns, yet the market lacks systematic, cycle-based quantitative research and analysis of optimal entry points. This study constructs a backtesting framework in four steps: first, segmenting Bitcoin market cycles using trend and standard deviation; second, verifying that implied volatility (IV) in Bitcoin responds to both upward and downward movements, making it an effective entry signal; third, establishing “buy low / sell high” rules based on market phase; and fourth, estimating dual-currency APR using a simplified Black-Scholes model. Results indicate that the dual-factor framework of “IV-based entry + cycle-driven direction” effectively captures volatility premiums, performs particularly well in sideways markets, delivers stable returns, and supports reinvestment, providing a practical path for systematizing dual-currency investment strategies.

Gate Research Daily Report: Despite a brief rebound attempt in the crypto market, prices have failed to decisively reclaim key resistance levels. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has continued to weaken and gradually retreated to its core supply–demand zone, while ETH fell below the important psychological level of USD 3,000. Technical breakouts drove ACE up 22% over the past 24 hours, while FHE surged 98% in the same period, with its recent rally primarily driven by Chainlink’s newly launched FHE privacy bridge. Visa announced the launch of a stablecoin advisory service. Ripple revealed plans to expand RLUSD to Ethereum Layer 2 networks. Circle announced the acquisition of Axelar’s initial development team, Interop Labs, along with its intellectual property.

This week, the crypto market remained in a volatile range amid macroeconomic disturbances, recent consecutive rate cuts by the FED have boosted short-term market sentiment, but investors’ concerns over structural issues such as long-term inflation, fiscal deficits, and the independence of monetary policy have not subsided. Additionally, the Bank of Japan’s rate hike this month is widely anticipated. Yesterday, Bitcoin spiked to a high before dropping over 2.2%, while Ethereum also surged then retraced, ending the day up 1.2%.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC remained in a weak consolidation over the past day, repeatedly encountering resistance near 92,000 USDT, while ETH pulled back to the MA10 after a sharp upswing, showing signs of short-term momentum cooling. Market sentiment improved marginally, with capital rotating into the Ethereum ecosystem. Sectors such as Prediction Markets, GambleFi, ZK, and LRT recorded weekly gains of 18%–35%. Stablecoin market capitalization continued to rise, and gas fees remained at ultra-low levels. NIGHT, BEAT, and LUNA posted strong rebounds of 40%–60%, driven respectively by new listings, partnership catalysts, and technical bottom-recoveries. Major banks have begun offering Bitcoin-backed lending, while institutional BTC holdings have surpassed 1.08 million. Tempo’s testnet launch strengthened the narrative around on-chain payments, and expectations surrounding a potential SpaceX IPO as well as Stripe’s acquisition of Valora further boosted market attention. In the coming seven days, CONX, APT

Gate Research: In November 2025, high-performance blockchains continued to dominate on-chain activity, with ecosystem stratification becoming increasingly evident. Solana maintained its lead in both transaction volume and active addresses through high-frequency interactions. Although Arbitrum remained in a low-activity range on the usage side, sustained net inflows driven by asset tokenization and institutional infrastructure expansion positioned it as a key focus of market capital. After breaking below short-term cost bases, BTC entered a repricing phase, with short-term turnover increasing while long-term holdings remained stable, shifting the market structure from strong-side consolidation to a pressure-driven equilibrium. The broadening BTCFi narrative also fueled a strong upswing in Starknet, drawing notable capital and user inflows. At the project level, Monad’s mainnet launch ignited the high-performance L1 narrative, rapidly expanding on-chain activity and application deployment, while Telcoin saw a s

Gate Research Daily Report: On December 12, BTC showed a clear short-term strengthening trend. ETH moved higher and then pulled back over the past 24 hours, forming a high-level consolidation pattern, while GT remained in a consolidation and recovery phase. LIGHT drew market attention with a sharp gain of +79.47%. Meanwhile, JPMorgan launched the USCP token on Solana to facilitate a landmark on-chain debt issuance for Galaxy; Blockstream announced plans to acquire TradFi hedge fund Corbiere Capital to expand its institutional investment strategy; and El Salvador partnered with Elon Musk’s xAI to roll out the Grok AI education program nationwide.

Gate Research: On December 8, over the past 24 hours, the crypto market remained in a consolidation phase. BTC entered sideways trading after a sharp V-shaped rebound, with short-term moving averages forming a minor death cross, signaling that the price has entered a correction stage. ETH moved in tandem with BTC, showing a high degree of correlation. Altcoins showed clear divergence — large-cap tokens rose modestly with the broader market, while mid- and small-cap projects became selectively active on narrative and news-driven catalysts. The Fear & Greed Index stood at 20, reflecting continued cautious sentiment. On the macro front, U.S. stocks edged higher, and gold prices traded in a narrow range. In market highlights, Strategy admitted for the first time that it may sell BTC under extreme conditions, drawing widespread attention; Base’s launch of the SOL-Base Bridge sparked controversy within the Solana community; and the Monad mainnet’s on-chain activity fell short of expectations, with DEX trading volum

November saw Bitcoin decline by 17.54%, marking the largest monthly drop of the year. Bitcoin ETFs experienced the second-largest single-month outflow since their launch in 2024. In November, Gate’s quantitative fund recorded a 1.9% return for the USDT strategy; the top 30% portfolio achieved an annualized return of 4.1%, outperforming Bitcoin. The “Arbitrage Pioneer – USDT” strategy stood out with a monthly annualized return of 5.5%, demonstrating robust defensive characteristics. Overall fund drawdowns remained low, with the USDT strategy experiencing a maximum drawdown of just 0.02%. Looking ahead to December, expectations for interest rate cuts, next year’s rate trajectory, potential rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, and speculation over a Fed leadership change are likely to drive short-term crypto volatility.

Gate Research Daily Report: On December 10, the crypto market saw a mild rebound, with BTC and ETH maintaining a strong short-term structure. Among notable movers, PIPPIN (+66%) surged on strengthened AI-driven narratives and speculative flows; WET (+37%) gained significant attention following its TGE launch and broader traction within the Solana ecosystem; and PENGU (+10%) remained strong amid positive momentum from Pudgy Party surpassing one million downloads and the release of AI-enabled Pudgy toys. On the industry front, Polygon completed its Madhugiri upgrade, delivering a meaningful boost to network throughput and enterprise-grade infrastructure capabilities. FLock.io, Deluthium, and Aerodrome jointly advanced the rollout of the on-chain insurance platform CARiFIN. Meanwhile, BTC supply on exchanges has declined by more than 400,000 BTC over the past year, easing spot selling pressure and reinforcing a more supportive medium-term market structure.

Gate Research Weekly Report: BTC saw a strong rebound followed by a period of consolidation at higher levels over the past day. ETH quickly reversed after dipping to $2,719.28 on December 2 and continued to set new local highs during the subsequent rally. Gate recently listed TRADOOR spot and perpetual contracts, with the token surging more than 170% in 24 hours. The Ethereum Fusaka upgrade is progressing smoothly; Web3 project registrations in the Cayman Islands have surged; and PayPal’s PYUSD stablecoin has seen substantial growth. Kalshi and Polymarket recorded nearly $10 billion in combined trading volume in November, marking their strongest month on record. ENA, LINEA, and BB are scheduled to unlock approximately $50.92 million, $12.75 million, and $2.51 million worth of tokens, respectively, over the next seven days.

Gate Research Daily Report: On December 5, BTC turned weaker over the past 24 hours after a period of high-level turbulence; ETH stabilized following a sharp pullback; GT found support near 9.50; and SN surged over 90%, drawing market attention. Canton Network’s developer gained strategic investment from Wall Street giants, pushing on-chain assets past $6 trillion. XRP spot ETFs saw 13 straight days of inflows, nearing the $1 billion mark, while JPMorgan said bitcoin’s near-term direction depends largely on whether Strategy (MSTR) can maintain its value-to-bitcoin-holdings ratio above 1.

Gate Research Daily Report: On December 5, BTC turned weaker over the past 24 hours after a period of high-level turbulence; ETH stabilized following a sharp pullback; GT found support near 9.50; and SN surged over 90%, drawing market attention. Canton Network’s developer gained strategic investment from Wall Street giants, pushing on-chain assets past $6 trillion. XRP spot ETFs saw 13 straight days of inflows, nearing the $1 billion mark, while JPMorgan said bitcoin’s near-term direction depends largely on whether Strategy (MSTR) can maintain its value-to-bitcoin-holdings ratio above 1.

Gate Research Daily Report: On December 1, BTC experienced a high-volume plunge after a prolonged sideways consolidation at the upper range, forming a rapid downward structure and hitting a low of $86,317, confirming a short-term trend shift from sideways to bearish. ETH had been consolidating near $3,030 for several days but repeatedly failed to break above resistance, with momentum gradually weakening. The price then sharply broke down near the dense moving average zone, falling to a low of $2,831. In November, cryptocurrency trading volume fell to $1.6 trillion, the lowest level in nearly five months. TON and the Telegram ecosystem officially launched the decentralized privacy computing network Cocoon. A Chainlink spot ETF is expected to launch this week, while Grayscale plans to convert its private trust into an ETF.

Gate Research Daily Report: Bitcoin fell further below $84,000 on Tuesday, and dragged by BTC’s correction, Ethereum dropped below $2,800 over the past 24 hours, approaching its key $2,600 support again. Ancient8 announced a partnership with the gaming identity layer Dæmons, driving A8 up 89% in the past 24 hours; PRIME’s recent gains were mainly fueled by exchange listings and trading incentives, rising 45% over the same period. Kalshi announced it will tokenize thousands of its existing prediction market contracts on Solana, a move likely to attract more institutional and retail participation; meanwhile, Strategy established a $1.44 billion dividend reserve fund to support payouts, signaling robust cash flow and liquidity management to investors.