Analyst: The recent pullback in Bitcoin has led to record-high realized losses, possibly approaching a cyclical bottom.
BlockBeats News, February 21 — Cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe stated, "Bitcoin’s recent pullback has caused a significant surge in realized losses, reaching a record high. This is one of the largest realized loss events in Bitcoin’s history, comparable to the crash during the 2018 bear market, the March 2020 COVID-19 pandemic plunge, and the peak losses during the Luna/FTX collapse in 2022.
Many holders are capitulating, either selling at a loss or transferring their BTC while in a loss. This extreme realization of losses typically indicates market panic selling and forced liquidations. Historically, such large-scale increases in realized losses often occur near or at the bottom of a market cycle, as they represent the complete clearing of weak hands and highly leveraged positions.
It is noteworthy that the Sharpe Ratio has fallen to its lowest level since the previous cycle bottom; the market is experiencing a large-scale capitulation event with extremely high realized losses; market sentiment has nearly hit rock bottom. The only difference this time is that Bitcoin has only declined about 50% from its all-time high, rather than 80%. The bottom is near."
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