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6.21 Sunday SOL Morning Thoughts Today, SOL continues to show a high-level resistance, weak oscillation, and powerless rebound bearish structure, as a highly elastic mainstream blockchain coin, this round of market trend has fully followed the weak rhythm of the broader market, suppressed by the Fed's hawkish high-interest rate expectations, with overall market risk appetite low, funds generally fleeing to safe assets, and the altcoin and public chain sectors severely lacking incremental funds. Even if there is a slight oversold rebound during the day, it is only a technical correction, belonging to short-term speculation of existing funds, with no major funds entering to support, and no conditions for a trend reversal. Coupled with this week's dense release of US inflation and employment data, the market may experience wide-range shakeouts at any time, with volatility far exceeding Bitcoin and Ethereum. Technically, the daily chart remains in a standard downward channel, with prices continuously suppressed by medium- and long-term moving averages, each rebound accompanied by obvious volume decline and price-volume divergence, with heavy trapped positions at high levels above, making sharp rises prone to concentrated selling pressure and pullbacks; the four-hour rebound highs continue to decline, with a clear short-term moving average death cross suppression, indicators slightly repaired but still in a weak zone, and the bearish structure intact without being broken. Today's key resistance is concentrated in the 83.5–85 range, which is a short-term moving average and trading volume resonance resistance level, with the ultimate strong resistance at 89–92 range difficult to break through; short-term support at 77–79 is very weak, a false support zone, and if effectively broken, it will accelerate downward. The mid-term core defensive line is at the 70 level, and losing it will trigger a new deep bottoming phase. Trading suggestion: rebound at 74.5–75 to look for short positions, target 72, if $BTC broken, see 70.

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