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The US government shutdown may end on Friday.
The US government shutdown is finally coming to an end. According to TD Securities’ forecast, the House of Representatives may vote on a temporary funding bill on Wednesday, and the government is expected to resume operations by Friday. Although the shutdown has had negative impacts on the economy, the market doesn’t seem to be too worried, expecting a quick economic rebound. However, I believe this optimism might be a bit overdone. The short-term positive effects of the government reopening will quickly fade, and the real challenges are just beginning. The key is to pay attention to the subsequent fiscal policy directions and the negotiations among various parties regarding the budget. For us traders, the end of the government shutdown might trigger some short-term opportunities, but more importantly, we need to grasp the medium- and long-term policy trends and adjust our trading strategies accordingly. After all, the conclusion of this political drama may just be the prelude to a bigger storm.