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The credibility of economic data is worth a deeper look. Global export and import data are difficult to significantly falsify at the macro level—exports on one end, imports on the other, with bidirectional data forming a closed loop for verification, resulting in limited deviations. However, the complexity of the issue lies in regional granularity.
Once refined to trade statistics of specific countries and regions, things become more delicate. The accuracy of data at this level has considerable uncertainty. Unilateral reports of export data, tax declarations, customs records, and other links may all have statistical biases or information asymmetries. Such regional data fluctuations, while affecting market sentiment in the short term, have limited actual impact on the global big picture. The key is to distinguish between overall trends and interval noise.