#比特币价格走势 Seeing this wave of predictions, I have to admit I feel a bit complicated inside. Standard Chartered Bank has cut its 2026 Bitcoin target from $300,000 to $150,000, and the reason behind it is quite sobering—institutions' ETF entry is far below expectations. This is the reality; no matter how much the media hype it up, ultimately it depends on whether real money is following in.

Having been in this circle for so many years, I’ve seen too many times the full process of "consensus" turning into "harvesting the leeks." Now, $150,000 predictions are everywhere, and every analyst is talking about what 2026 will look like, but I care more about—how many of these predictions are based on genuine research, and how many are just to attract attention?

The technical side gives us a reminder: if history repeats itself, Bitcoin might revisit the $40,000 to $70,000 range. We cannot ignore this risk. Many people buy in at high levels, waiting for this "bullish consensus" story, only for the market to suddenly turn and undergo a deep retracement. By then, it’s too late to regret.

My experience is this: don’t be swayed by collective optimism. Bitcoin could rise to $150,000, or it could fall first and then rise. The key is to understand whether you are investing or just following the trend and gambling. If it’s the former, you need to be mentally prepared for retracements and manage your positions accordingly; if it’s the latter, you should think clearly about how much you can afford to lose. Don’t get trapped and then blame the market for not playing fair.