The market is always playing the same tricks.

Remember when Bitcoin hit 69,000? The entire circle was shouting "End of year target 150,000." Everyone spoke confidently, full of faith, as if it was already a done deal.

Fast forward to the end of the year, and 150,000 almost became a "national consensus." But then something interesting happened—almost no one was still seriously asking: what if? What if it doesn't reach?

Look at what gold is doing now. It’s wandering back and forth at the bottom, and what’s the result? All those aggressive bullish voices have disappeared. People complain it’s rising too slowly, that it’s not exciting enough, that there’s no room for hype.

But market temperament is just like that:

At high levels, it frantically creates faith for you—every piece of news is bullish, every data point points to an increase; at low levels, it starts filling your mind with doubts—negative news floods in, risks are everywhere; by the time you’re fully convinced and truly believe in this cycle, the space has already been hyped up enough.

The real bottom is never lively. Look at history—every big rally starts very quietly, even a bit awkward. It’s the tops that are the most lively, where the consensus can tear a hole in the sky.

Now ask yourself: where do you stand? Are you following the crowd when it’s noisy, or do you have the courage to lay low when no one’s paying attention?