ETH once again ignites the 3000 guard battle. Is it a "bull comeback" or a "trap to lure more"?

Just now, I was having tea with Lao Song. We talked about the incident the day before yesterday at the gym where a ball was stolen. Checked the surveillance, the person taking the ball is quite decent, with a name and stable job. When approached, he explained, "I thought no one wanted it."

Actually, it’s just greed for a little bit of cheap profit, even if he doesn’t lack that money. Human nature, after all, can’t withstand close inspection.

I took a glance at the $ETH market chart on my phone. Handed the phone to Lao Song to look. I said, look at this candlestick, that long upper shadow, doesn’t it look like the hand of that decent person reaching out to steal the ball?

Just now, the price surged to 3034.99. Many people shouted: "Breakthrough! Into the wilderness! Bull comeback, quick retreat!"

Lao Song looked and said calmly: Life is neither on the track nor in the wilderness, but a cage layered upon layer. What is progress? It’s not about being completely free, but about breaking out of a small cage into a larger one.

That’s a very sharp statement. The main force is just pushing you from the 2900 cage into the 3000 cage. That long upper shadow at 3035 is the bars of the cage. It hit once, bloodied the head, and then retracted.

This is also a form of "theft." The decent person taking the ball is just doing it for a "quick hand," thinking no one saw; the main force inserting a needle at 3035 is also for a "quick hand," quietly taking the liquidity from retail chasing highs. It looks like a breakout, but it’s actually a trap. The volume didn’t keep up; it’s all retail hype. Such a breakout is nine times out of ten a fake move.

Lao Song asked me, what do you think about this position?

I said, since we know we’re fighting inside a cage, don’t dream of going into the wilderness. I’m just crouching at the cage door. 3045 to 3065 is the top of this big cage. Since the previous attempt was pushed back, it shows there’s heavy selling pressure.

Strategic logic:
Direction: High altitude (betting on the top of the cage)
Ambush point: 3050-3060 zone, preset 3072-3082 for re-entry short
Stop loss: 3118
Take profit: 3008 - 2977

The person holding the ball thinks he’s not stealing, just picking up. Just like many retail investors, thinking chasing highs isn’t gambling, but investing.

And the result? The ball was taken back, face lost. Money trapped, mentality shattered.

On a day like Wednesday, it’s best to calm the mind. Don’t bark wildly from behind the cage. Quietly wait for the prey to come crashing in.