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4.14 Market Analysis
Watch whether the 4h level holds above 74,300. If it holds, liquidity may move above 75,800. The extreme rebound could even tag 78,876, but for now, do not chase highs; focus mainly on shorting on rallies. Pay attention to the large-timeframe gap at 59,800—this must be broken. The short at 74,888 today has already been entered.
$BTC Bitcoin
Structure: After the flag breakout, the bulls dominate; a stair-step rally; the trend is clear
Long conditions: Hold 74,300 → Target 75,537, 75,687, 76,760
Chasing longs on the right side: A volume-backed breakout above 74,445; aggressive long
Chasing shorts on the right side: A volume-backed breakdown below 74,084; rebound that fails to close the short
4-hour level: Break below 73,898 → Watch 72,898, 71,445
Support: 73,954 → 73,090 → 72,565
Resistance: 74,445 → 75,687 → 76,760
Reminder: The bullish trend has just started; counter-trend shorts are prone to stop-loss/liquidation. As long as it does not drop back inside the flag pattern, it is considered a normal pullback
$ETH Ethereum
Chasing longs on the right side: Breakout with volume above 2,369 to go long; set stop-loss at the breakout level
Chasing shorts on the right side: Breakdown with volume below 2,352 to go short; keep the stop-loss on #加密市场回暖