ZhouXinTalksTrends

8.27 Gold Morning Outlook
Gold pulled back slightly from the highs last night under the influence of the PCE data, but did not weaken overall, remaining within the normal shakeout rhythm of a bullish trend. The larger-timeframe upward structure remains intact. This pullback is merely an accumulation adjustment after the previous consecutive surge, not a market reversal.
From the early session price action, prices are fluctuating steadily, with limited downside momentum and very solid support below. The market is currently focused on waiting for Friday’s Jackson Hole speech. Before major news i

8.26 Gold Evening Outlook
Gold continued to trade within a narrow range at elevated levels in the evening, rising and then coming under pressure and retreating during the day, while overall maintaining a high-level corrective rhythm. On the one-hour chart, prices tested the upside resistance multiple times without success, short-term bullish momentum slowed, and the candlesticks continued to consolidate sideways. This is an accumulation correction after a sharp rise, with no signs of trend weakness or reversal.
The daily bullish structure remains intact, with bullish moving-average alignment a

Bitcoin’s volatility has been fully released. This triangle pattern has broken out on heavy volume, reclaiming the $70k level. The hourly and 4-hour timeframes have completed a trend reversal, so this can no longer simply be defined as a rebound—the new uptrend has begun.
Before the market moved, two pullbacks to 68,973 confirmed support and provided entry opportunities. Many people continued waiting for lower prices because they feared buying at the top, but excessive waiting for lower levels is also a form of greed, ultimately causing them to miss this upward move.
Once a trend forms, it wil

8/13 Gold Outlook: Stay Bullish Above 4360
Gold has recently formed a typical strong washout pattern at high levels, with repeated range-bound swings and constant whipsawing between longs and shorts. However, the overall trend remains firmly bullish, with lows continuing to rise and highs repeatedly reaching new levels. After the consecutive rallies, many have developed a fear of heights and continue waiting for a major pullback, but the market has consistently rejected deep corrections. Each decline has been a rapid washout and recovery, with only a shallow adjustment—one of the clearest feat

Gold CPI Data Takes Center Stage Tonight; Crude Oil Eyes a Rebound
Gold has experienced intense daily volatility recently, with prices swinging dozens of points in a single day and repeatedly setting new local highs. Following a period of consolidation, the upward momentum has resumed. The daily moving averages are expanding bullishly, with the medium-term upside target pointing toward 4500. Yesterday’s daily candlestick formed a gravestone doji near the highs, signaling some weakening in short-term bullish momentum. With the release of the major CPI inflation data scheduled for 20:30 tonight,

Gold is highly likely to rise and then pull back today. The main force may push it up to 4430-4450 to lure in longs, so you can wait to enter short positions in the 4420-4430 range. When the rally ends and the price pulls back, rely on the 4350-4370 support zone to enter long positions, continuing to target the resistance zone above 4400. Set strict risk controls.
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8/12 Early Gold Market Outlook
The overnight pullback from the highs is a normal retracement and shakeout within an uptrend, not a trend reversal. The broader upward structure remains intact, and the upward momentum accumulated by the bulls has not been fully depleted. The short-term decline is mainly volatility caused by short-term profit-taking. After the price retests the support area, the risk-reward ratio is highly favorable. Buying on dips near support aligns with the principle of trend-following and is also the safest entry approach for the day.
On the daily chart, the moving averages c

8/11 Gold Morning Outlook
Overnight, gold prices began a steady upward move from the 4315 area at the lows. After a pullback and consolidation during the session, prices rose again, reaching a morning high of 4419.22. The current quote is 4412.47. Overall, the lows continue to rise, the bullish structure remains intact, there has been no deep pullback throughout, and bullish support is strong.
The 1-hour cycle has formed a step-like upward channel. The pullback candlesticks have short bodies, while the rebound bullish candles have sufficient strength, representing a continuation pattern within

7/23 BTC morning outlook
BTC maintained a high-level consolidation overnight. After a short-term spike higher, it met resistance and pulled back instead of continuing the strong breakout momentum. The four-hour timeframe has already broken above the long-term range box, but it has not yet completed an effective close confirmation. Heavy resistance overhead is pressing down, and the short term is entering a build-up and wait stage.
Key strong support below: 65,570—65,100
Key strong resistance above: 66,530—67,280
Trading plan
If the short-term pullback does not break the 65,570 support, pri

7.18 Ethereum midday outlook
The price is being suppressed below the short-term moving averages, with MACD bearish momentum continuing. The short-term market is still under adjustment. The current price is close to the lower Bollinger Band at 1802, entering an oversold zone, so there is a need for a rebound to restore.
The key mid-term structural defense level is 1800; as long as it does not break, the larger downtrend remains intact.
In the short term, wait for a pullback to the 1810-1820 support area and consider buying low. For the rebound, first look toward the 1860-1880 range
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ZEC is trading at 547, staying just below the 4-hour Bollinger middle band at 553. The short-term moving averages are tightly clustered around 543-545; the market currently has a balance between bulls and bears, and there is no sign yet of breaking into a one-sided trend.
In the medium term, the 120-day moving average remains at 486, the bottom is rising, and the overall market structure stays moderately bullish.
The KDJ indicator still has an advantage in the near term for the long side, but the J value is too high, and oversold/overbought conditions are showing—chasing higher increases risk,

7/14 Midday Thoughts
After BTC and Ethereum rose, they began to consolidate and rest. Many people worry that the uptrend has ended. In fact, the market is only digesting sell pressure, and the overall trend hasn’t turned bad.
When BTC pulls back to around 62,300, you can watch for a chance to rebound from the lower levels. The upside range is expected to reach 64,700.
For Ethereum, observe in batches within the 1,760–1,780 range. The rebound targets to reference are in the 1,810–1,840 range.
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Do you remember what I told everyone before about mindlessly buying around 62K? Time will prove everything. Just be patient and hold, and wait for the flowers to bloom!
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7/13 early morning thoughts
After a round of rapid pullback, the short-term downside pressure for BTC/ETH has basically been released. Further downside room is limited, and the market has entered an oversold repair cycle.
For BTC, watch for potential rebound opportunities when it retraces to the 62,400–62,600 range; upside reference is 63,800–64,500.
For ETH, stay on the sidelines and monitor within the 750–1,760 range; if it bounces back, it could look toward 1,810–1,850.
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The market has almost fully priced in the Federal Reserve’s September rate hike expectations. If the Fed then pauses rate hikes in September, most of the bearish factors at this stage will be essentially fully realized; the key news suppressing gold prices will fade, and the price action may be poised to enter a round of corrective rebound and upward trend.
With recent geopolitical developments being released ahead of schedule and the shorts having concentrated their exits, after big-ticket bearish news is fully realized, market sentiment is likely to recover, and the gold market may start a w

Evening advance tip: exit at high in the 1770‑1890 range, successfully captured 30 points of price movement. Market direction materialized as expected. Position along the trend, steadily accumulate swing profits.
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Yesterday's market showed a pattern of first falling then rising. After the price fell back to the 62000 level, it quickly rebounded forming a V-shaped reversal. The daily chart has closed with six consecutive bullish candles, and overall market sentiment has clearly warmed up. The weekly chart closed with a small bullish candle with a lower shadow, and the medium-to-long-term market has stopped declining and stabilized.
Switching to the 4-hour cycle observation, the deep V-shaped rebound was accompanied by increased volume, with main funds entering to absorb chips. The Bollinger Bands are slo

How many people still remember what Zhou Xin said earlier about going long blindly around 6w2? As long as you dare to go long, e300 fragments 🧩 will have one more!!
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This round of short-term, rapid downward wicks is mainly due to three reasons:
First, the US Dollar Index quickly surged in the short term, causing risk assets overall to see capital leave the market, putting pressure on the price action;
Second, short-term liquidity on the order book was insufficient. Large sell orders smashed the market in an instant, triggering the forced liquidation of a large number of short-term positions, which then created a chain reaction decline. After the price quickly pierced through the support level, dip-buying capital surged in and then rapidly pulled it bac

BTC at 63200 directly goes in to defend at 62700; the target is to watch 63700–64000.
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