PrincessQingyue

9.18 Evening Market Review
The daytime surge resulted from a convergence of oversold recovery, bearish factors being priced in, and a short squeeze, rather than a trend reversal
After the sharp rise, the market lacks new bullish catalysts tonight. Coupled with gradually intensifying selling pressure from trapped holders above, rebound momentum will gradually weaken, potentially entering a high-level consolidation phase
BTC’s core range is 770-786, with first resistance at 784-786, second resistance at 790-793, first support at 773-775, and second support at 765-767
ETH’s core range is 2450-254

9.18 Friday morning analysis:
It’s Friday again—will this time be a black one?
After the bill failed to pass and the rate hike sent the price rapidly down to a low of 74955, it quickly recovered. The current price is around the 76400 level. On the 4-hour chart, the structure is hovering around the middle band. MACD remains below the zero line, but the fast and slow lines are already close and are about to form a golden cross.
Long around 76200-75700, target: around 77100/77900
Long around 2430-2400, target: around 2470-2500
My life can have time to play with monotony, but has no room to endure

9.17 Thursday BTC/ETH Morning Outlook
Yesterday, BTC fluctuated within a wide range overall, with bulls and bears pulling back and forth before and after the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. During the day, the price repeatedly consolidated above 75000, while market sentiment was strongly cautious; after the rate decision was announced in the early hours, it first plunged rapidly, hitting support near 75000, then quickly rebounded on buying pressure and surged to test resistance around 76500, closing above 76000.
On the 4-hour chart, it is currently in a high-level consolidation phase

Looking back at last night’s market action, the coin price was quickly driven lower by news-related factors, reaching a low of 75025. Strong support quickly emerged at this level, fully absorbing the bears’ selling pressure. Buying then entered and pushed the price higher, briefly reaching 76540. After the surge, it did not continue breaking higher and instead entered a slight pullback and consolidation, currently regaining stability around 76160. This bottoming-and-rebound move was very clear: funds were willing to actively buy after the decline, confirming the support value of the lower regi

The Fed rate decision lands at 2:00 a.m. tonight—is this a waterfall, or have expectations been fully priced in?
My view is as follows↓
With the probability of a rate hike currently above 90%+ and U.S. Treasury yields breaking above 5%, the hike itself is no longer the focus. The key is the dot plot—Standard Chartered and Deutsche Bank both expect a hawkish stance, and the dot plot may show two more rate hikes this year.
In my view, what will truly crush the market is not the rate hike itself, but the simultaneous impact of two blows: 10-year U.S. Treasury yields breaking above 5% and oil pric

In crypto and real life, the three most harmful words: “Trust me, go all in”🚀
So many friendships have been ruined by one offhand claim of certainty.
They promise to take you to the moon and get you to buy BTC, gold, NVIDIA, and SpaceX stock with them! Then the moment the market turns, they disappear, leaving you to shoulder the losses alone.
Calling each other brothers when making money, and still being able to sit down and enjoy a meal together after losing money—that’s what real friendship looks like.
👉A soul-searching question: If a trusted friend has screwed you over once, would you sti

📈September 16 Midday Market Outlook📈
$ETH Strategy:
ETH breaks above 2412 with volume: chase long on the right side, stop loss on a reclaim.
Breaks below 2388 with volume: chase short on the right side, and set a stop loss.
If the pullback confirms support at 2356, add one long position; stop loss below 2314.
On the hourly timeframe, if ETH holds above 2412, look upward to 2441-2484.
Watch for a short position at 2441 above ETH; stop loss on a breakout above 2484.
Left-side wick orders: long at 2281, stop loss below 2250.
Upper resistance: 2412-2441-2484
Lower support: 2388-2356-2314
O

At this point, is it time to buy the dip?
But today, I’m deliberately not buying the dip. I’m going straight short. Don’t ask me why I’m being so stubborn—I’ve already been taught a lesson by tokens like this before.
In the past, whenever I saw a coin plunge continuously, dropping more than 90%, I would think it couldn’t fall much further, so I’d confidently buy the dip and go long.
What happened? Not only did I fail to catch the bottom, it ultimately made me question everything.
Some altcoins are just like this: they pump aggressively at first to attract attention, then begin a long, slow dec

$ETH After several years of trading crypto, I finally understood: the real way to make money is to treat trading like a job
When I first entered the space, I was just like many others—
Staying up late watching the charts, chasing pumps and selling dips, getting liquidated, feeling anxious—I fell into every pit there was, and several times I wanted to delete the app and leave the space for good
Until I eventually realized one thing:
Don’t treat crypto trading like gambling; treat it as a long-term job
Review your trades on schedule and trade according to plan. No matter how crazy the market get

Want to support your family by trading crypto? Remember these 10 ironclad rules first.
First, don’t rush to sell a strong coin after a prolonged decline. It often gets a rebound, and the key is to watch the rhythm.
Second, remember to reduce your position after two consecutive days of gains. Profit only counts when it’s in your pocket.
Third, don’t get carried away and chase a sudden surge on one big bullish candle. Chasing at the top is the easiest way to get stuck.
Fourth, truly strong coins will give you a pullback opportunity. Entering after low-volume stabilization is much safer than rush

When I first entered the space, the first thing I did every morning after opening my eyes was check the market, and the last thing I did before bed was check the market too.
I was happy when prices rose and anxious when they fell. I simply didn’t dare let go of my phone, afraid I might miss some so-called opportunity.
After a few months of this, I was making more and more trades, but my account had barely grown. Instead, the market had me firmly under its control.
Until an experienced trader who had been doing this for many years made me realize one thing:
“You’re not trading; you’re working f

ETH 2476, it was knocked down along with $ETH and BTC yesterday.
But there is a clear difference between it and BTC.
BTC's lows kept collapsing over the past two weeks, while ETH's lows have instead been rising. September 10: 2410, September 13: 2465, September 14: 2490—each one higher than the last.
The 2648 above is the high from September 11. It surged to 2608 two days ago before falling back, so it is not far away.
The bottom is rising, while the top is still there; this structure is cleaner than BTC's.
So when that decision comes out early this morning, if it is positive, ETH will most li

This trend is so obvious, I don't even need to think—the account is dancing on its own.

While the market was bottoming out, ZEC kept grinding back and forth around 811.96. Many people were still cursing the whales for being heartless, but I felt that this kind of bottoming without a breakdown meant someone was quietly buying underneath. I originally only planned to test the waters with a small position, but ended up catching that burst of momentum right before the move began. I also put on some $ZEC long positions, with a modest target—I'll get out if it breaks down, and keep holding if it

This market is moving even faster than last Friday.
Hope everyone saw the previous post and banked profits from the long positions~
To be honest, in a market move without any consolidation, unless you had pending orders placed in advance or profits from long positions to play with, missing the move is perfectly normal.
If you missed this short-term move, just wait patiently for the candlesticks to develop~$E

If 1520 is lost and the rebound remains weak, focus should shift to the key round-number level of 1480 below.
Once 1480 also fails to hold, the short-term trend may open up further downside.

Added another $10k to the account today; deposited $30k on August 21; total profit as of today is $27k, with $2K withdrawn; current account equity is $55k
You guys will always see my glamorous side, but I hope you can also see my profit drawdowns. There are no perpetual winners in the market—only trailblazers who keep moving forward one step at a time. Build a solid foundation with every step, not seeking to get rich overnight, but simply aiming to make profits while withstanding every profit drawdown#