DanielRomero

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Nuclear names like $OKLO, $SMR, and $NNE
Quantum names like $IONQ and $IFNQ
Will probably get a rally at some point again
No idea from what prices or when
Just throwing it out there
Trends come and go, don’t think that the current hot shit will always be the hot shit
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$LITE makes $COHR look cheap
I understand $LITE has the best tech and yields at the moment
However, $COHR is a very competent company, and its financials are stronger right now
I can’t imagine this gap lasting in the long term, at least not at this scale
Any thoughts?
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$INTC is doing everything right as far as partnerships and headlines go
Now the question is: will earnings follow the trend as well?
That’s what will separate a $60 stock from a $120 stock
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𝐌𝐢𝐜𝐫𝐨𝐧: Lynx raises 𝐏𝐓 𝐭𝐨 $𝟖𝟐𝟓
The firm said recent checks show Micron has sold out its HBM capacity through 2027, extending beyond management’s previous guidance of capacity sold through 2026. The firm also said Micron’s DDR5/lpDDR5 capacity may be sold out through 2027
Lynx Equity said Micron is likely negotiating supply and pricing terms into 2028 after allocating 2027 supply to key customers. The firm expects fiscal 2028 revenue to rise 40%, compared with consensus estimates that are flat to down
The firm said the market is focused on upside to second-quarter contract pricing,
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I like $ONDS
However, with so many acquisitions, you need to use this year to look below the hype layer in the earnings and calls
I wouldn’t be comfortable being diluted without knowing exactly how the company is performing at its core
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$IREN is down 50%
I think the potential is really high, just look at the power they have secured
However, acquiring GPUs is so expensive, and it will hurt earnings because of the depreciation
All these capex requirements, funded partially through dilution, are killing the stock
I’d argue that they should adopt a more energy-centric approach by doing colocation deals
I don’t think the neocloud strategy makes sense for them
I don’t even understand why they’re trying to compete with $NBIS, even from a marketing standpoint, when there is clearly no real competition there as far as neoclouds go
Not
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$NBIS is up 630% since my deep dive on it
Holy shit
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$AMD will crush earnings this year
Wait and see
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If you think photonics is big, you aren’t prepared for what’s coming next
Few understand
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2 lukewarm takes
$AMZN should be worth considerably more than $MSFT
Jassy is a better CEO than Nadella
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314% total return on $NBIS and 365% on $MU in a year (while averaging up)
Wild that these two could go up another 100% in a year and still feel fairly valued
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Who could’ve said we were short compute?
Maybe you could’ve listened to all industry insiders
Or looked at $NVDA being sold out
Or the GPU rental prices
Or noticed hyperscalers scrambling to lock in capacity long term
The best moment to buy $NBIS was when everyone was bashing the neocloud model
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What went wrong with $IREN lately?
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Samsung is doing a lot of interesting stuff
Trading at 5x NTM EPS btw
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Photonics companies are extremely hyped
Still, many of these stocks aren’t expensive at all
$NVDA is going to be much more aggressive with CPO than $AVGO
$LITE, $COHR, and $TSEM are the 3 companies most closely tied to the NVIDIA photonics ecosystem
I’d expect some surprises in these companies’ earnings, even more so by 2027
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Morgan Stanley estimates that $GOOG will ship only 25% fewer AI accelerator units than $NVDA in 2027
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I’m amazed by how fast the market can turn from apocalyptic to uber bullish
We went from semi investors going long LNG and buying $SMH puts to pushing photonics stocks to 30x sales and $INTC to new highs
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Bookmark this: Memory doesn’t peak until 2028, and $MU re-rates 100% from here
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Peacefulheart:
To The Moon 🌕
Claude Mythos is an early look at AGI
Blackwell models will trigger a new massive AI rally
Expect ATHs in most bottlenecked semiconductor suppliers
Rubin models will solidify the AI supercycle
The next few years are going to be insane
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UBS raises their $MU PT to $535 (from $510)
We raise our price target from $510 to $535 based on the same SOTP valuation method. We derive ~$405 of value for MU’s Core DRAM+NAND ex-HBM business applying an unchanged ~3x P/S multiple in line with the 3-yr average prior to C2024, when MU had no HBM contributions on C27E revenue of $187.7B. Similarly, we derive ~$132 of value for MU’s HBM business by applying a ~6x P/S multiple unchanged on C27E revenue of $27.9B.
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