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Light Crude just printed a clean symmetrical triangle.
Volume is textbook: lower & declining during compression.
Breakouts from this pattern typically come with heavy volume.
Structure resolves by early June, but the coil looks ready to fire before month end!
$XOM $C $WTI
LIGHT1.8%
AMP2.44%
LOOKS-7.84%
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1/2
Let's touch on the last 2 posts.
Massive index divergence!
While $SPX flies on tech the $DJI is getting crushed by the real economy.
Weakness isn't just $CRM tech cycles, it’s the consumer.
Consumer discretionary stocks $MCD $PG $HD $NKE show the consumer is cracking.
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The $SPX Fibonacci anchored from the 2025 lows to the 2025 highs is mapping the trend perfectly 📐
$SPY ripped through the 162% level printing new highs
If this structural run continues, next major magnet is the 262% level📈
Watch the 7 EMA for the first sign of a pause 🛑
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The macro $DJI Fibonacci roadmap is executing flawlessly. 🎯
Anchoring the 2024 highs & the 2025 lows puts price right into the 162% extension
The $DIA index is clearly struggling to push through this level.
This zone often acts as a pause point in extended trends.
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$PLTR is developing a descending triangle, defined by lower highs against stable support.
Momentum indicators continue to soften, RSI drifting, suggesting pressure is building.
Historically, this structure resolves lower when support fails.
There may be 1 more bounce
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$SOX continues to respect the Fib structure anchored from Oct 22 > Jul 24 high
Initial interaction at 162% produced a clear rejection & break of trend
Price is pressing 262% , with 3 sessions attempting to trade above
Historically, this zone often precedes momentum moderation
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If broad indices are entering a cooldown mode, your eyes👀must be on $VIX.
Price is on track for its 3rd consecutive day trading north of the RED moving average. 📈
RSI isn't fully confirming a massive run just yet, but momentum is rapidly getting close. Watch the breakout.
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We've stated many times that they can't fix this!
Real inflation is far higher according to Shadow stats by John Williams
For years we've spoken about:
Damned if you raise rates
Damned if you don't
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I guess you cannot say that there was a sign
$VIX closed above red Mov avg for the first time in over a month, since March 30th
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People oversimplify the relationship between bond yields and equities.
It’s not necessarily a “yields up → stocks down".
It’s not a clean leading indicator either.
But it’s also not random.
When you line up the charts, three patterns reveal (At least from Jan 2022):
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🧵
Gene editing spent 2 years in limbo & nobody’s paying attention to what’s happening under the surface right now.
While everyone is chasing AI, CRISPR names have quietly:
Bottomed
Rebased
Reaccumulated
They're flashing the first real structural reversals
$NTLA $BEAM $CRSP
BEAM-1.56%
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The $GOOGL portfolio is out
Am not sure if this is correct but it's the best we could get
Some of these would have been great short term holds...
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We're been cautious on the precious metal for a while BUT we're changing our stance
GOLD is starting to look good again.
$GLD
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We're one of the few who switched from bear to bull
$btc
Most have been permabulls
Many have thrown the towel in
Some turned bearish at the wrong time
BTC2.04%
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1/2
Let's compare $BTC
November
vs
NOW:
Bitcoin looks stronger
Tighter consolidation
Cleaner breakout
Beautiful MA crossovers
More BUYING
Only caution, BTC is a tad stretched which is generally when it tends to chop before deciding the next leg
Weekly is next...
Crypto
BTC2.04%
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$BTC reclaimed the $80k level for the first time since late Jan
Bitcoin successfully filling the Gap!
This is where BTC typically:
Consolidates
Shakes out weak longs
Traps early shorts
POSSIBLY sets up the next leg!
Next post we compare now to November!
BTC2.04%
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$POET is a micro photonics company
Still pre revs with no scaled customers & a major setback after $MRVL canceled Celestial AI’s order
Normally trades low options activity, minimal institutional footprint
Over past few sessions 2 large LEAP call trades hit
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This is the highest Bitcoin has been in months, almost at our 1st target, 81k
$BTC has been in a slow & steady incline = good
Once we fill that gap, we have the possibility of 83ish
IMO 83 is going to be a little tough we may start taking some profits there & buy pullbacks
BTC2.04%
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Secretary Bessent warns Americans:
You should be concerned about AI hacking your bank accounts
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The more something gets hit the weaker it gets, IMO expect a Bitcoin gap fill soon
$BTC weekly RSI breaking 50 = Plus
Money Flow breaking 0 = Plus
FIVE green weeks = BUY VOLUME
Not super heavy = No more sells out there
BTC2.04%
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