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Trading and investing operate on a different timeline than most people realize. Whether you're doing it full-time or squeezing it into evenings, the core principle remains unchanged: constant tinkering won't accelerate results.
Think of it like gardening. You plant a seed. Checking on it hourly, watering it obsessively, or digging it up daily to inspect the roots won't make the tree grow taller by next week. That's not how biology works.
Same logic applies to your portfolio. Overtrading, day-flipping positions, panic-selling on dips, rotating between coins on a whim—these aren't investing strategies. They're noise disguised as activity.
Real wealth compounds over quarters and years, not intraday candles. The compound effect kicks in when you plant the seed, set reasonable expectations, and give it space to develop. Markets need time to reflect your thesis. Your positions need time to mature.
Stop confusing motion with progress. Your job isn't to optimize every single day. Your job is to make solid decisions, then let them breathe. At first glance, NIGHT looks weak today, but the context matters more than the percentage drop. {currencycard:spot}(NIGHT_USDT) After the recent expansion toward the 0.068–0.070 zone, price has moved into a cooling phase, not a breakdown. The selloff is sharp on the surface, yet structurally it still sits inside the same range that has been forming over the past few days.
Right now, NIGHT is trading around 0.059–0.060, which is a meaningful area. This zone aligns closely with the MA30 on the 4H chart and historically price has reacted here rather than sliced straight through it. That tells me sellers are active, but buyers have not disappeared.
From a support perspective, there are two levels that matter:
* The first support is the current zone around 0.058–0.060, where price is trying to stabilize.
* If this fails, the next stronger support sits near 0.053–0.055, which previously acted as a consolidation base before the last impulse move.
On the upside, resistance is clearly defined:
* Immediate resistance is around 0.063–0.065, where short-term moving averages are now acting as pressure.
* A more important resistance sits at 0.068–0.070, the recent high. That level would need strong volume to break again.
Volume tells an important story here. Despite the red candles, volume is not expanding aggressively. That usually means this move is more about profit-taking and short-term positioning, not panic selling. If this were a true trend reversal, we would likely see heavier volume and faster follow-through to the downside.
Momentum indicators are cooling but not collapsing. The MACD has rolled over, which is normal after a sharp move up, yet it hasn’t entered a deep bearish expansion. This suggests the market is resetting momentum, not flipping trend.
So how do I read this overall?
This looks like a post-rally digestion phase. Early buyers are locking in gains, late buyers are getting shaken out, and the market is trying to find fair value again. That process often feels uncomfortable, but it’s also how sustainable trends are built.
From a strategy point of view:
* This is not a chase zone.
* For spot buyers, only incremental entries near support make sense.
* For short-term traders, confirmation matters more than prediction. Either a clean bounce from support or a clear breakdown with volume.
My take is simple:
As long as NIGHT holds above the 0.055 area, this move remains corrective, not destructive. A loss of that level would change the picture. Until then, patience matters more than conviction.
The market isn’t offering certainty right now it’s offering information. How price behaves around this support will tell us what comes next.
#PostToWinNIGHT
#PostTowinNight Dec 8–Dec 14, 2025 #OnchainWeeklyReport
Despite weaker DEX volumes, the market saw $1.4B in new stablecoins and strong institutional accumulation. Whales and funds continued to rotate aggressively into ETH and majors, including Bitmine’s 102K ETH purchase and Saylor’s 10.6K BTC buy.
🟢 Stablecoin Market
The total stablecoin market cap increased by $1.4B.
🟢 Spot & Perps Trading Volume on DEXs
🟢 Protocol Revenue
🟢 Last week, 8 companies increased their holdings by 11,662.78 $BTC($1.03B) and 2 companies decreased their holdings by 824 $BTC($72.43M).
🟢 Institutional/Whale Activity
Tom Lee(@fundstrat)'s #Bitmine bought another 102,259 $ETH($321.1M) last week.
Michael Saylor(@saylor)'s @Strategy bought another 10,645 $BTC($980.3M) at $92,098 last week.
The #BitcoinOG(1011short) keeps aping into $ETH, $BTC, and $SOL longs — his total exposure has now ballooned to $692M.
489,696 $ETH($1.5B) — bought another 38,576 $ETH($119.3M) today.
Whale 0x9F61 has swapped another 2,286 $BTC($199M) for 67,254 $ETH in the past 20 days. #AreYouBullishOrBearishToday?
The market doesn’t feel emotional today. It feels… undecided.
And that’s actually an important difference.
When panic hits, it’s loud. When euphoria takes over, it’s obvious. What we’re seeing now is neither. Price is moving, but conviction is missing which usually means the market is waiting for confirmation, not collapse.
So am I bullish or bearish today?
I’d say selectively bullish, but disciplined.
Instead of looking at the usual large caps everyone repeats, I’m watching how structure behaves in a few specific names.
#NEAR continues to stand out for its stability. Even during broader pullbacks, it’s holding a clean higher-timeframe support zone. There’s no aggressive bounce yet, but that’s not a bad thing. This kind of quiet base often forms before trend continuation, especially when sellers fail to push price lower.
#ARB is another one behaving differently. Volatility has compressed, and volume has thinned out. Historically, this kind of price action doesn’t last long. I’m not positioning early, but a confirmed breakout from this range would quickly shift momentum in its favor.
OP recently pulled back, but what matters is how it pulled back. No cascade selling, no loss of structure. Buyers are still defending key levels. If the market stabilizes, OP looks like one of the faster names to respond.
For higher-risk appetite, SUI remains on my radar. It’s choppy, but it keeps forming higher lows. That tells me traders are rotating, not exiting. This is not a buy-and-forget asset entries near support and strict risk control matter here.
Finally, #RNDR continues to show relative strength. While many assets are still struggling to reclaim momentum, RNDR is respecting its trend. Shallow pullbacks and steady recoveries usually reflect real demand rather than hype-driven flows.
So has the market bottomed?
Not conclusively.
But what I don’t see is broad fear, forced selling, or structural breakdowns. This feels more like a transition phase where capital quietly moves into assets showing resilience instead of chasing noise.
My approach right now is simple:
• Trade levels, not opinions
• Let structure confirm direction
• Stay patient until the market commits
Uncertainty isn’t a signal to panic.
It’s often a signal to prepare.
$NEAR $RNDR $ARB {currencycard:spot}(ARB_USDT) {currencycard:spot}(RNDR_USDT) {currencycard:spot}(NEAR_USDT)