Is it still viable to adhere to short-termism in the field of encryption?

In my opinion, although this line of thinking has encountered significant bottlenecks, it is by no means necessary to completely abandon it. Here are my observations and thoughts on the retreat of short-term speculation.
1. The Past Revelry and Present Fatigue
Since 2020, the cryptocurrency market has been booming, and MEME coins have become a phenomenon—thanks to a surge in social media, cases of achieving high returns in a short period are not uncommon. This rebellious attribute of "going against the trend, being undervalued by the market yet still profitable" makes short-term speculation thrilling.
But in recent years, the wind has quietly changed: speculation is no longer a niche choice, but rather a norm imposed by the market. You are no longer the one actively discovering opportunities, but are passively "chosen" among many participants. The more core change is the fatigue in mindset: it's not frustration due to losses, but rather the meaning of the gameplay has already deteriorated. The once superior feeling of "profiting through sharpness, intuition, and decisiveness" is slowly disappearing.
2. Why is short-termism becoming increasingly difficult?
1. Market maturity compresses opportunity space: The latest report shows that many encryption projects are obsessed with short-term explosions, neglecting long-term product iteration, and short-termism has instead become a growth shackle. By 2025, the overall returns of the encryption market will not surpass those of traditional assets, trading volume will decline, and market attention will shift from speculative hotspots to value accumulation. With reduced opportunities, retail investors clustering together, and institutions entering the market, the success rate of simply "chasing hotspots - quick in and out" will naturally drop significantly.
2. Restructuring Market Logic through External Environment: Tighter regulations and the deep binding of traditional finance with encryption assets have eliminated the "barbaric growth environment" on which speculation relied. The year 2025 marks a transitional period for encryption assets from disorder to maturity, where short-term speculation has lost its previous gray advantages that were "overlooked by the market."
3. Dual fatigue of ecology and psychology: When a certain gameplay is imitated by everyone, and "making quick money" shifts from being an exception to the mainstream, its appeal is bound to diminish. Just like you feel, this is no longer an active choice but a passive acceptance—this sense of fatigue is a signal of transitioning from blind speculation to rational reflection, and it makes me ponder: when everyone is rushing towards it, should we change tracks?
3. Short-termism has not completely disappeared.
Short-term operations still have room for survival, but the logic is completely different:
• Positioning shifts from "main battlefield" to "supporting strategy";
• The probability of success decreases, and the risk significantly increases;
• Higher demands for technology, information advantages, and decision-making speed;
• Must be paired with medium to long-term strategies and cannot be relied on alone.
In short, if you still want to participate in short-term speculation, you need to be more cautious, more strategic, and more adept at timing your exits than ever before.
4. Practical Suggestions for the Future
1. Retain the fun of short-term trading, but strictly control positions: no longer go all-in, treat short-term operations as "entertainment play" rather than core allocation;
2. Strengthening the medium- to long-term perspective: Select projects that are truly recognized and willing to hold for the long term. While speculative profits can be quick, the long-term value is the solid foundation.
3. Keep a close eye on structural changes: The impacts of regulation, capital, liquidity, technology, and other factors are becoming increasingly crucial. Ignoring these in short-term operations is no different from running naked.
4. Redefine Self-Positioning: Transition from "Frenzied Speculator" to "Rational Participant", still pursuing excitement, but focusing more on meaningful projects rather than simply chasing doubled returns;
5. Establish rigid rules: The market's tolerance for errors has decreased, and "quick wins" are no longer the norm. Short-term operations require stricter exit mechanisms and stop-loss discipline.
In summary, the short-termism of the encryption world is still viable, but it is no longer an easy path of "low entry barriers and high returns." The speculative environment is changing, the rules are changing, and participants must adjust accordingly: treating short-term operations as a tool rather than the only path, while cultivating endurance and strategies for medium- to long-term layouts, in order to maintain a foothold in the future market rather than being eliminated.
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