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@MetaDAOProject üzerindeki "Ownership Coins" satışlarına dalmıştım.
Bu @solomon_labs pazarı @Polymarket dikkatimi çekti.
Sadece 10 saat kaldı. Ve sadece 50% $15M (~$7.5M) taahhüt edildi,
ancak piyasa “Evet”i 94% oranında >$15M için fiyatlandırıyor.
Peki gerçekten ne oluyor?
Önceki Avici ve Umbra satışlarına dönüp son aşamada ne olduğunu görmek için baktım.
Şunu buldum:
- Avici'nin satışının son saatinde: Yeni taahhütlerde 26-27 milyon $'lık büyük bir akın.
- Umbra'nın satışının son saatinde: Patlayıcı $77M giriş.
Hatta Loyal ( diğer gizlilik projesi ), son 6-12 saat içinde $53M aldılar.
Bu satış için aynı deseni bekliyorum.
Yani bu bahis için tahminim
>$15M taahhüt - Evet (94c)
>>$40M taahhüt - Hayır (73c, piyasa koşulu nedeniyle)
DYOR.