Bitcoin Looks Weak, but the Market Story Is Bigger Than Today’s Charts

Many traders are frustrated because Bitcoin isn’t pushing upward. That reaction comes from one thing: expectations running ahead of reality.

When expectations get too high, the market almost always disappoints. Altcoins are the clearest example right now. Hype priced in far more upside than the market was ready to deliver. The same pattern will flip once momentum shifts. Markets tend to move faster on the upside when most people have already given up.

There’s a loud narrative claiming the four-year cycle is dead. That conclusion is premature. Market conditions evolve, but human behavior doesn’t. Periods of flat price action and fear often appear right before stronger phases of recovery.

Example:
In early 2019, sentiment was flat and traders expected nothing. By mid-year, Bitcoin had rallied more than 200 percent before most participants realized what was happening.

Key Insight:
Expectations shape how we interpret the market. The more impatient the crowd becomes, the closer we often are to the next major move.
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