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Don't remind me again today

After finishing that book on fast and slow thinking, I realized a harsh truth:


The real competitors in this circle are not the mysterious big players, nor are they the projects that just make empty promises —
It's that guy in your head who likes to make up stories and believes everything he sees.

The dealer harvests you, at most a halving;
Deceiving oneself? That's bound to hit rock bottom.

Many people say before opening a position, "My intuition is very accurate."
Wake up, that's not called intuition.
That's your brain's autopilot mode helping you hit the all-in button, without even leaving you a brake.

Behavioral economics has a harsh saying:
"Humans think they are deep in thought, but in reality, they are just finding excuses afterwards."

So stop doing that kind of self-indulgent operation.
What "This time is different"
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ProposalManiacvip
· 11-30 11:12
Kahneman's trap theory is just for fun here, the key issue is that no one is putting brakes on the mechanism design - that's the real problem.
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bridge_anxietyvip
· 11-27 11:53
There are too many points to criticize; the real enemy is that self-deceiving trap of one's own.
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CryptoMotivatorvip
· 11-27 11:53
To be honest, I'm too familiar with this self-deception... Every time I say "this wave is stable", I end up losing everything. Really, the biggest enemy is in my head. Intuition? Uh... that's just a nice way of packaging the gambler's fallacy. This hits home, I need to reflect. It's again "this time is different", why do I keep stepping into this pit? Deceiving myself is the most ruthless way of being played for suckers, no doubt about it. Dreams are good, but I need to turn off the autopilot mode, otherwise I will really hit rock bottom.
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failed_dev_successful_apevip
· 11-27 11:53
Wow, this part is so heart-wrenching. I'm just that self-driving brain.
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GasWranglervip
· 11-27 11:45
tbh, analyzed your reasoning framework here and it's... demonstrably flawed. you're conflating cognitive biases with actual transaction mechanics. the real enemy isn't self-deception—if you were actually optimizing your decision tree, you'd be examining mempool data and priority fee differentials instead of philosophizing about your own brain. that's the sub-optimal approach right there.
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