#美联储货币政策 After looking at the latest analysis, I feel that the market is indeed a bit precarious right now. The Fed hasn't made much noise, and Bitcoin has fallen about 25% from its peak. However, I think this pullback is actually quite normal, after all, it rose too sharply.

The key point is still to look at the liquidity of the US dollar. If the analysis is correct and liquidity continues to contract in the short term, then BTC is likely to fall to around 80,000. However, in this case, the Fed and the Treasury will definitely not sit idle and will probably find ways to print money.

So I suggest everyone to be patient and not to panic. It's a good time to wait and see, and consider entering when BTC falls to around 80,000 to 85,000. If by then the US really starts printing money on a large scale, BTC is very likely to rebound to 200,000 or even 250,000.

In short, stay calm and be prepared. Remember, such a big fall is often the best opportunity. However, still pay attention to the risks and don't go ALL IN.