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Is the interest rate cut in December really going to happen this time?



A fixed income team from a top Wall Street investment bank recently stated their clear position: there is almost no chance of a rate cut this month. Their logic is straightforward—employment data is starting to weaken, and regulators need to hedge against risks in advance.

More importantly, the market has already voted with its feet. The pricing of interest rate cut expectations has now climbed to 21 basis points, and it is said that the number of supporting votes within the decision-making body is already sufficient. The previous remarks by a certain core official now appear to be a precautionary measure for the market.

After entering the quiet period, traders pushed the probability directly to 85%. This number basically announces the end of the suspense.

The question arises: If interest rates are really cut, how will the crypto market react? Is liquidity easing a positive for altcoins or just hype? How do you plan to adjust your positions? Let's discuss your strategies in the comments.
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TradFiRefugeevip
· 11-30 13:51
I won't bet with an 85% probability, this time it might be a quick rebound... Last time it was 90%, and what was the result? This wave of alts is probably just a trader's dream, liquidity has come but it won't be for small coins.
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OnchainDetectivevip
· 11-30 13:28
85% probability? Heh, it's just another numerical game of self-indulgence in the market. Those altcoins are just a pretext for playing people for suckers when liquidity loosens up. My strategy is very simple: wait until the shoe really drops before acting; right now, it's all about expectation games.
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