Big dump alert: Japan's 80% chance of interest rate hike triggers a 19 trillion "bomb"! Have you bought the dip on your BTC? Do you remember the 2022 trap interest case?

This morning BTC suddenly fell below 83000. Did you think it was just a normal adjustment? I was sweating just staring at the screen—just because of one number: 80%. The market is making crazy bets on the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike in December, with the probability skyrocketing to 80%, and in January it is as high as 90%! This is not just an interest rate hike; it's a direct ignition for the global 19 trillion yen trap trade!
For global traders, this awakens painful memories of Christmas 2022. At that time, the Bank of Japan unexpectedly adjusted its yield curve control (YCC) policy during the December meeting, raising the upper limit of the 10-year government bond yield from 0.25% to 0.5%, triggering severe turmoil in global markets.
Considering that December 19th falls on the eve of the Christmas holiday, market liquidity is typically at its annual low point, and any unexpected policy tightening could be amplified in this weak liquidity environment, triggering a new round of "trap trading disasters."
For decades, the near-zero interest rate yen has been borrowed and exchanged for dollars to pour into the US stock market and the crypto market. Once Japan raises interest rates, a massive amount of funds will instantly flow back out. The result? BTC is the first to suffer. The data doesn’t lie: BTC’s monthly decline exceeds 20%, with $3.5 billion lost in ETFs and over 400 million in liquidations overnight… The market is as fragile as paper.
Don't forget about the Federal Reserve! Powell said nothing about policy tonight, which is even more frightening— a period of silence is often the calm before the storm. If Japan tightens and the U.S. doesn't ease, BTC will face a "double whammy" situation. #现货ETF获批新进展 #十二月行情展望
Looking at BNB again, it has fallen to heartbreak. The new official, Lina, has been appointed as the growth director of BSC, but the retail investors are almost all gone; what is there to grow? The on-chain projects have dropped below CZ's buying price, and the vulgar penguin has long become a "fallen penguin." But don't panic, the most anxious ones are not you—it’s the new official and the exchange. Market rescue? Maybe it’s already on the way.
Remember: Carry trade liquidation is just a short-term shock, not the end of the world. After Japan's interest rate hike in 2024, BTC hit a new high in just three months. Key points to watch: December BOJ meeting, Fed dot plot. Don't rush to go All in, manage your positions well, and survive to benefit from the next rebound. #成长值抽奖赢iPhone17和周边
So, now I ask you——#加密市场回调
Today, do you dare to buy the dip? $BTC $ETH $DOGE