The showdown between the White House and the Federal Reserve is getting serious this time.
Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve chair, Hassett, has openly taken a stand for “significant rate cuts.” Even more striking, Treasury Secretary Besant is personally overseeing the selection process—clearly signaling an intent to shake up the US financial regulatory system. Rumors are swirling in the market that Trump has already drafted a letter in the White House to fire the current chair, Powell. As soon as the news broke, the dollar plummeted.
At the same time, personnel changes at regulatory agencies are accelerating. Trump’s nominee for CFTC chair, Michael Selig, has passed the initial review by the Senate Agriculture Committee. Once fully confirmed, he will become the agency’s sole commissioner. Travis Hill, Trump’s nominee for FDIC chair, has also received the green light from the Senate Banking Committee.
Ultimately, this is a struggle over the independence of the Federal Reserve. Since its establishment in 1913, the Fed’s independent operations have been the ballast for global financial stability—the core logic being to separate monetary policy from short-term political demands. But now, this long-standing tradition is facing unprecedented challenges.
Trump’s dissatisfaction is straightforward: Powell is too slow with rate cuts and can’t keep up with the White House’s pace of “stimulating growth with low interest rates.” What frustrates him even more is Powell’s repeated public emphasis on the principle of “independent operation,” refusing to align with White House policy directions. For Trump, key positions must be filled with people who will listen.
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ZenMiner
· 14h ago
The independence of the Federal Reserve really feels like it's about to change.
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EternalMiner
· 17h ago
The Federal Reserve is really in trouble this time; Powell might be out of a job.
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BlockchainDecoder
· 12-04 03:55
According to research, the deeper logic behind this round of personnel reshuffling is worth calm analysis—the erosion of Federal Reserve independence is actually quite rare in history.
From a technical framework perspective, once the monetary policy framework becomes politicized, data shows it will directly impact the stability of the long-term interest rate curve. Citing Blinder and Zandi’s 2015 study, even a 5% decline in central bank credibility can lead to a 200 basis point increase in inflation expectations.
It’s worth noting that this series of personnel arrangements by Trump is less about simply “changing people” and more about restructuring the power structure of US financial regulation. It is recommended to refer to the paper “Federal Reserve Independence and Financial Stability,” which elaborates in detail on the historical consequences of central banks under political pressure.
In summary, short-term dollar fluctuations may just be superficial; the key issue is that once this institutional framework is shaken, the pricing logic of global financial markets may need to be completely reassessed.
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BearEatsAll
· 12-04 03:54
Powell is about to be fired, obedient people are taking over. Can the US dollar still stay strong...
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HashRateHermit
· 12-04 03:54
Rate cuts, rate cuts—at the end of the day, it's still all about flooding the market with liquidity. This playbook is all too familiar. Powell has basically been played to death.
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AmateurDAOWatcher
· 12-04 03:43
Powell might really be replaced this time, and the Federal Reserve’s independence—the ironclad rule—may also be shaken. Obedient people are being promoted; Trump is playing this game ruthlessly.
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BlockchainWorker
· 12-04 03:35
The Federal Reserve's independence is about to be lost; this really is different now.
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FloorPriceWatcher
· 12-04 03:30
Powell really got unlucky this time. To put it bluntly, the decision to cut rates still depends on what the boss says.
The showdown between the White House and the Federal Reserve is getting serious this time.
Trump’s nominee for Federal Reserve chair, Hassett, has openly taken a stand for “significant rate cuts.” Even more striking, Treasury Secretary Besant is personally overseeing the selection process—clearly signaling an intent to shake up the US financial regulatory system. Rumors are swirling in the market that Trump has already drafted a letter in the White House to fire the current chair, Powell. As soon as the news broke, the dollar plummeted.
At the same time, personnel changes at regulatory agencies are accelerating. Trump’s nominee for CFTC chair, Michael Selig, has passed the initial review by the Senate Agriculture Committee. Once fully confirmed, he will become the agency’s sole commissioner. Travis Hill, Trump’s nominee for FDIC chair, has also received the green light from the Senate Banking Committee.
Ultimately, this is a struggle over the independence of the Federal Reserve. Since its establishment in 1913, the Fed’s independent operations have been the ballast for global financial stability—the core logic being to separate monetary policy from short-term political demands. But now, this long-standing tradition is facing unprecedented challenges.
Trump’s dissatisfaction is straightforward: Powell is too slow with rate cuts and can’t keep up with the White House’s pace of “stimulating growth with low interest rates.” What frustrates him even more is Powell’s repeated public emphasis on the principle of “independent operation,” refusing to align with White House policy directions. For Trump, key positions must be filled with people who will listen.