Bitcoin heads towards a crucial test: when the weekly dead cross becomes the decisive factor at $67,000

This week, the cryptocurrency markets face a critical crossroads. Crypto analyst Gamza Khanzadaev has issued a technical analysis highlighting a concrete risk: Bitcoin could plunge toward $67,000 if it fails to hold certain support levels. The warning centers around a chart pattern that market participants are watching very closely: the so-called dead cross on the weekly timeframe.

The Technical Challenge Facing Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s current price stands at $90.65K, right at the forecast intersection. According to U.Today’s analysis, failing to consolidate above $90,000 would confirm a bearish pattern with significant implications for the coming months.

What exactly does a dead cross mean? It is a crucial moment when a short-term moving average (50 weeks) drops below a long-term one (200 weeks). Historically, this crossover has preceded long periods of weakness across various asset classes. In Bitcoin’s case, if confirmed on a weekly basis, it would signal a shift in the outlook of major players, from medium- to long-term confidence to marked caution.

The current price action near the critical threshold of $86,000 creates an urgent need for monitoring. This zone represents the primary defensive level: a sustained and decisive break below would trigger a cascade toward further psychological supports. The next targets would be $80,000 first, then $74,111 (derived from historical retracement studies), down to the pessimistic scenario of $67,000.

The Architecture of Key Levels and Missing Volume

The support and resistance structure forms the foundation of any credible technical reading. The key points are:

• Critical resistance at $90,000: Acting as an insurmountable ceiling would determine whether the bearish pattern consolidates or is invalidated
• Primary defense at $86,000: The real test of the current trend’s strength; a loss here would open more critical scenarios
• Secondary supports at $80,000 and $74,111: Represent historical zones of buy accumulation, but with diminishing strength

What concerns analysts beyond simple price levels is the weakness of buying pressure at this crucial stage. Volumes support price movements; without them, even rebounds to $92.52K (highest in the last 24 hours) appear fragile and temporary. A key technical test like this requires significant volume to confirm genuine trend changes.

The 2025 Context and the Geopolitical Significance of Moving Averages

This year presents a unique landscape for cryptocurrencies. Regulatory clarity in major economies, institutional penetration, and global macroeconomic dynamics directly shape digital asset behavior. Bitcoin, given its central role in the crypto market, acts as a barometer for the entire sector: its technical health determines sentiment on altcoins and DeFi.

The 50- and 200-week moving averages are not just lines on a chart. They represent the aggregated movements of thousands of buy and sell decisions over time. When the MA50 is about to cross below the MA200, it means that the last 50 weeks of trend have fallen short compared to the four-year underlying trend. For institutional investors, this is a warning sign to reduce exposure.

Historical Precedents and False Signals

Bitcoin has experienced multiple dead cross patterns throughout its history. During the 2022 bear market, similar patterns preceded months of sustained decline. However, not all dead crosses led to significant drops: some turned out to be “bear traps,” false signals where the price quickly reversed course.

The current market environment, characterized by high leverage and proliferation of derivatives, adds volatility. Once key levels give way, chain stop-losses and forced liquidations can accelerate movements disproportionately compared to the past. This adds an extra layer of risk that operators cannot ignore.

What Could Reverse the Bearish Scenario

The only invalidation scenario is clear: if Bitcoin manages to recover and close the week above $90,000 with significant volume, the dead cross pattern would be avoided. In this case, sentiment would shift from warning to potential bullish continuation. The 24h volume of $773.57M provides a current baseline, but the entire week will reveal the true strength of buying interest.

Risk Management and Complementary Tools

Technical analysis is not an oracle but a probabilistic map of market behavior. Traders and investors should integrate it with fundamental analysis (adoption, regulation, technological innovations), risk tolerance assessment, and real-time horizons. A long-term investor will evaluate differently than someone operating on weekly timeframes.

Complementary tools—momentum oscillators, volume profiles, on-chain data—offer a multifaceted view. The weekly dead cross is a signal, not a definitive verdict. When used alongside disciplined stop-losses and calibrated positions, it can serve as an intelligent parameter for portfolio rebalancing.

Bitcoin’s challenge in the coming days remains: consolidate above $90,000 or confirm the bearish pattern threatening $67,000. Crypto markets, by nature, resolve technical uncertainties quickly. Operators monitoring volumes, positioning, and microstructure will have the informational advantage in navigating this critical phase.