#美国民主党BlueVault Suppose the U.S. Supreme Court rules that tariffs are illegal and orders refunds—what could be the potential impact on the cryptocurrency market? Think about it—



**The Possibility of Restored Confidence**
Trade frictions have always been a heavy stone on the market. Overturning such policies means that stone is moved aside, and investors will breathe a sigh of relief. Remember in 2025 when Trump proposed a cryptocurrency strategic reserve, and $BTC and $ETH surged? This time might bring a similar rebound—after all, removing uncertainty usually triggers market reactions.

**A Turning Point in the Economy**
The current U.S. situation—high inflation, high interest rates, and soaring debt—causes concern. If the tariff refunds are processed, it could indeed ease tensions. Once the economic situation stabilizes, risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) are more likely to attract capital. This is basic fundamental logic.

**Where the Money Flows**
This is the key point. Refunds mean that cash held by businesses and consumers increases, and some of it may seek new investment channels. Meanwhile, the government's method of raising refund funds will also indirectly affect market liquidity, and this chain reaction could ripple into the digital asset sector.

**The Variable of Regulatory Attitudes**
However, there's a question mark here—if the court rules the government’s actions illegal, it could also reinforce investors’ expectations for regulatory compliance. In other words, the market might think the government will be more cautious and impose stricter regulations on the crypto industry. Long-term positive, but short-term adjustments might occur.

All the details are here—what do you all think?
BTC-1,54%
ETH-1,77%
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DegenTherapistvip
· 01-14 14:51
As for refunds, to put it simply, it's about whether the government can actually cough up the money; otherwise, it's all just talk on paper.
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LayerZeroHerovip
· 01-14 14:50
Honestly, can the refund really be implemented? It always feels like another empty promise. The market hasn't even rebounded yet, and then it gets slapped in the face again.
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Layer2Observervip
· 01-14 14:39
Well... the logical chain looks very smooth, but I have to be honest—there's an overlooked point here. Tariff refunds essentially increase fiscal expenditure. How does the government raise this money? Issue more bonds? Print money? This could actually reinforce inflation expectations. Moreover, historically, after courts overturn policies, the probability of proper implementation isn't that high, and market reactions are often overestimated. One thing that needs clarification—cash inflows into the crypto market are not automatic; it also depends on whether institutional investors' risk appetite has truly changed.
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DAOdreamervip
· 01-14 14:35
Wait a minute, if the court really rules this way, liquidity will explode... The sudden increase in money held by enterprises and retail investors will definitely flow into the crypto market... But the key question is whether the US government will really admit defeat? It feels like there are too many political cards involved.
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IfIWereOnChainvip
· 01-14 14:35
Speaking of which, if the government really refunds the money, it will definitely flow somewhere, and the crypto market is waiting for it.
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MetaEggplantvip
· 01-14 14:29
To be honest, this logical chain is a bit of a leap of faith; it's uncertain whether refunds ≠ inflow into crypto.
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SelfMadeRuggeevip
· 01-14 14:23
Hey, wait a minute, can the refund really be processed properly? Looking at this political trickery, it doesn't seem that simple.
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