There are 100,000 in the crypto world, and the goal is to turn it into one million. Most people only think about doubling their money in one step. But the people who actually make money play it differently.
Let's do some careful calculations: doubling 100,000 to 200,000, then doubling again to 400,000, and a third time to nearly 1,000,000. Compared to directly multiplying by ten, this approach seems more practical.
Why is there such a difference? Because most people don't understand the underlying logic of returns. Return = Principal × Volatility × Time. This formula is simple but crucial. If 100,000 increases by 100% in a year, it becomes 200,000, completing one full doubling cycle.
Many in the crypto space now want to get rich quickly, and the most common strategy is to amplify volatility. Either chase altcoins, which can rise 50% in a day but also get cut in half just as fast; or use leverage, for example, a 5% increase in principal with 10x leverage, turning a daily gain into 50%. Risk and reward are always twin brothers.
If you decide to only trade spot and not gamble on volatility, there are only two paths left: one is to select a few potential coins carefully, and the other is to extend your investment cycle. These two methods sound simple, but in practice, they go against human nature—because waiting is always the hardest part.
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BlockchainDecoder
· 01-15 13:59
According to research, this article actually touches on a core issue in behavioral finance—the trade-off between time compounding and risk appetite. It is worth noting that the收益公式 proposed by the author, although simplified, indeed captures the essence.
However, I would like to point out a few technical details: firstly, the assumption of volatility amplification often overlooks liquidity risk; secondly, based on historical data, the halving speed of altcoins tends to be faster than their gains—this is not a simple symmetric distribution.
The real disagreement lies in—most people underestimate the impact of psychological factors in the compounding process. Waiting for three doubling cycles vs. getting rich in one go, these two paths are completely in different leagues. Overall, the logical framework of the article is sound, but it lacks an in-depth discussion on execution.
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GasWaster
· 01-15 13:58
That's true, but in reality, most people just can't do it. Seeing others multiply their wealth tenfold in a month, their mindset just collapses.
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BrokenDAO
· 01-15 13:56
The idea of compound growth sounds reasonable, but the real problem is—most people can't even endure a third doubling. The incentive mechanism is distorted, and human nature will always compromise in the face of short-term fluctuations.
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GrayscaleArbitrageur
· 01-15 13:53
That's right, compound interest looks simple, but few actually implement it. Most people can't handle the process and are always thinking of going all-in to turn things around.
There are 100,000 in the crypto world, and the goal is to turn it into one million. Most people only think about doubling their money in one step. But the people who actually make money play it differently.
Let's do some careful calculations: doubling 100,000 to 200,000, then doubling again to 400,000, and a third time to nearly 1,000,000. Compared to directly multiplying by ten, this approach seems more practical.
Why is there such a difference? Because most people don't understand the underlying logic of returns. Return = Principal × Volatility × Time. This formula is simple but crucial. If 100,000 increases by 100% in a year, it becomes 200,000, completing one full doubling cycle.
Many in the crypto space now want to get rich quickly, and the most common strategy is to amplify volatility. Either chase altcoins, which can rise 50% in a day but also get cut in half just as fast; or use leverage, for example, a 5% increase in principal with 10x leverage, turning a daily gain into 50%. Risk and reward are always twin brothers.
If you decide to only trade spot and not gamble on volatility, there are only two paths left: one is to select a few potential coins carefully, and the other is to extend your investment cycle. These two methods sound simple, but in practice, they go against human nature—because waiting is always the hardest part.