2026-01-15 14:01:02

#美国就业数据不及预期 On the evening of January 15th at 9:30 PM, the United States released a batch of economic data all at once, delivering a heavy blow to the precious metals market.

First, let's look at the initial jobless claims—expected to jump to 215,000, but the actual number was only 198,000, meaning fewer people were unemployed. The economy's foundation remains solid, which is a significant bearish signal for gold and silver (4-star importance).

The New York Fed's manufacturing index was even more dramatic. Last month, it was in contraction at -3.7, and the market hoped it would return to around 0, but it shot up directly to 7.7—indicating manufacturing activity suddenly picked up, further hitting precious metals (3-star importance).

The Philadelphia manufacturing index was even more outrageous. It was in a sluggish state at -8.8, with expectations of at most -1, but the actual figure was 12.6, soaring immediately. The manufacturing rebound is much stronger than expected, continuing to suppress gold and silver prices (3-star importance).

Looking at the November import price index, it was expected to fall by 0.1%, but it actually rose by 0.4%—import costs are rising again, and the story of inflation is not over yet. This is also a negative signal for precious metals (3-star importance).

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StableGeniusDegen

· 16h ago

Oh my, manufacturing is so strong, gold is directly hammered down --- Americans are not unemployed, the economy still has to carry on? Now it's all over for precious metals --- Philadelphia 12.6 skyrocketed, where's my gold --- Inflation is still pretending to be dead, who is this trying to torment --- A wave of data is all big short-seller gifts, how can longs survive --- The manufacturing sector suddenly waking up is truly unexpected, it seems the bottom is really solid --- Fewer unemployed people is actually a bad thing, this logic is brilliant --- Import prices are still rising, how can precious metals still fall, this is really absurd --- The New York Fed's move was too ruthless, jumping from -3.7 directly to 7.7, truly unexpected --- With the US economy so resilient, how can gold and silver still have a chance

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NotFinancialAdviser

· 19h ago

Damn, when the US data was released, gold was immediately smashed through. Who would have thought that manufacturing would make a comeback? --- So now the economy hasn't collapsed, and inflation hasn't disappeared? How is this logic supposed to work? --- The 12.6 in Philadelphia directly broke the defense; it was still at -8.8 before. The reversal is too fierce. --- Fewer unemployment benefits than expected is actually bearish? This market really has reverse thinking. --- Starting to talk about inflation again, import prices are still rising. Interesting. --- Both manufacturing indices exploded; precious metals have no way out. --- Wait, what should I stockpile now? Gold isn't working, and inflation hasn't been fully resolved. --- It feels like the US economy can't hard land again; it's a vicious cycle.

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GasFeeCry

· 19h ago

The Fed's combination punch is really fierce, with gold being pressed down to the ground... --- The manufacturing sector's revival seems to have caught the market off guard. --- Wait, inflation data is still climbing, what should we do? --- Releasing so many unexpected data points at once feels a bit off. --- Gold has been hit hard; now the bears are the ones laughing. --- Philadelphia Index at 12.6, the level of absurdity is a bit beyond imagination. --- Low unemployment + hot manufacturing, is a hard landing on the horizon? --- Precious metals are definitely going to fall again in the next few days. --- Inflation hasn't fully subsided, and Americans' lives aren't that easy either. --- With such strong manufacturing data, it seems policy actions will be taken again.

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SleepyValidator

· 19h ago

Manufacturing suddenly takes off, and gold is directly smashed through. This time, the Federal Reserve has really delivered a heavy punch to precious metal holders... US economic data all came as a surprise in one breath, with unemployment claims and manufacturing indices both exceeding expectations. Does this mean risk assets have another chance? Wait, are import prices still rising? So inflation hasn't truly subsided yet. This script is a bit complicated... Manufacturing index jumped from -8.8 directly to 12.6. The rebound strength is outrageous. How will the trend look tomorrow? Gold was hammered again. My positions are probably going to shrink again. Is it really impossible to catch the bottom... With such good data, is a rate cut by the Federal Reserve still possible? Feels like I’ve been fooled... It seems the economy isn't that weak, but the ghost of inflation is still there. Is the market overestimating the recession probability?

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SchrodingerWallet

· 19h ago

Oh my, the manufacturing sector's rebound is so sudden, gold was directly smashed through --- The US economy is so resilient, with unemployment data so strong, how can precious metals still rise? --- Philadelphia Index jumped from -8 to +12? That’s an incredible increase, my gold position is suffering --- Import prices are still rising, inflation isn’t over yet, so why did precious metals fall? --- Releasing so much good data overnight, the market reversed immediately, holding gold is really bad luck --- Manufacturing index surged, indicating the US economy isn’t as fragile as thought, no wonder precious metals got hammered --- Fewer unemployed is a good thing, good for ordinary people, but if you hold gold, you’ll have to take the hit

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liquiditea_sipper

· 19h ago

Damn, manufacturing data is so strong? Looks like the US economy isn't as weak as I thought. --- Gold was hit hard again, I really can't hold on much longer. --- Philadelphia 12.6 skyrocketed directly; this rebound strength is out of the ordinary. --- Better-than-expected employment data, but inflation is still there—what a contradictory situation. --- The sudden activity in manufacturing feels a bit strange; will it reverse again later? --- Precious metals were really hammered this time; is there still room for a rebound? --- A solid economic foundation is a good thing, right? But I feel a bit uncomfortable. --- Import price index is still rising; it seems inflation hasn't fully ended.

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OnchainDetective

· 20h ago

Wow, as soon as this data came out, gold was immediately pressed to the ground and rubbed, who would have thought the manufacturing sector would suddenly warm up The economy hasn't collapsed, precious metals can only admit defeat The US manufacturing rebound is a bit outrageous, the 12.6 in Philadelphia shot up directly Unemployment data is surprisingly good, is another rate hike coming? I'm just worried about that Inflation isn't dead yet, import prices continue to rise, when will this mess end It seems I need to reassess my gold and silver holdings, these data really hit close to home

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0xInsomnia

· 20h ago

The Federal Reserve's kick woke up the manufacturing industry, and gold was directly beaten down. This is the reality. --- The economy didn't collapse; instead, manufacturing took off? It seems the good days for precious metals are really over. --- The 12.6 jump in Philadelphia data directly took off. I just want to know how much longer gold prices can resist. --- Less unemployment benefits, explosive manufacturing, inflation still here—this combo punch is too fierce. --- Is gold and silver really cooling down? I'm a bit panicked about my positions. --- Manufacturing jumped from -8.8 to 12.6? This increase is a bit outrageous. Good for the economy, bad for precious metals. --- As soon as the Federal Reserve data is released, precious metals get hammered. It feels like even shorting against the trend can't make money. --- A solid economic foundation is too unfriendly for gold trading. --- Import prices are still rising, inflation isn't over yet, but gold still can't hold up. --- Four data points all hit precious metals in one go. Short sellers should be laughing their heads off.

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