ATOM is preparing for a breakthrough: TokenomiKA will change the game on January 15

As the Cosmos network approaches the key date of January 15th, when the proposal submission window for reforming the tokenomics model closes, investors are positioning themselves ahead of a potential breakthrough. The current ATOM price hovers around $2.53, with a seven-day increase of 2.27 percent, and a market capitalization of approximately $1.24 billion. What’s happening behind the scenes could fundamentally change how the network generates value for token holders.

Economic Reforms as the Main Catalyst

Cosmos Labs invites research teams to submit proposals for redesigning the ATOM economic model. The current structure is based on staking rewards with inflation rates ranging from 7 to 20 percent, which has been a pain point for the network for years. Leading research firms are competing to develop solutions that could reduce effective inflation by up to 60 percent.

A key change would involve shifting from passive rewards to a model capturing fees from main chains built on Cosmos infrastructure—particularly platforms like dYdX and Cronos. This would be the biggest structural revolution since the launch of the Inter-Blockchain Communication protocol, potentially solving the issue of ATOM value accumulation since the peak drop in 2022.

Delphi Digital forecasts a price of $4.50 within six months, assuming successful implementation of the changes. Analysts argue that shifting revenue sources from staking to infrastructure SDK revenues could be key to long-term growth.

Technical Outlook: Bullish Levels with First Tests

Today’s structure shows clear signals of change. The ATOM price broke above support levels at Supertrend (2.206 USD) and Parabolic SAR (2.200 USD), confirming a sentiment shift after testing resistance near $1.90 in late December. This is the strongest week since October, when the token briefly approached $5.00.

Key technical levels on the daily chart:

• Immediate support: $2.40–$2.50
• Base support: $2.20 (Supertrend/SAR)
• Critical support: $2.00
• First resistance: $2.80 (downward trend line from August)
• Main resistance: $3.20–$3.40

The 30-minute chart reveals consolidation within an upward channel between $2.55 and $2.70. RSI at 51.28 suggests neutrality, while MACD shows a slight bearish divergence (-0.003), indicating a pause in momentum. A breakout above $2.65 with increased volume could open the way to the daily resistance at $2.80.

New Functionality Expands Possibilities

Meanwhile, THORChain has launched a public beta enabling direct exchange of ATOM for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other assets via IBC. In the first 24 hours, the platform processed $42.7 million in volume. Developers are finalizing integrations with Solana and Ethereum Layer 2 networks, with plans to complete this by Q1 2026.

Despite a 95.8 percent decline from the all-time high of $44.45, Cosmos infrastructure continues to gain adoption and create new growth vectors beyond traditional staking rewards.

Scenarios for the Coming Days

The next two weeks will be critical. If the tokenomics proposals meet expectations and governance votes show approval, ATOM could head toward the $4.50 target. Breaking above $2.80 and the downward trend line opens the door to $3.20, with further potential to $3.80.

In a bearish scenario—disappointment with reforms or governance setbacks—the rally could turn into a classic “sell on the news.” Losing $2.20 would invalidate the bullish structure and expose the token to testing support at $2.00, then $1.80–$1.70.

Technical decision: Breaking above $2.80 confirms a trend change; losing $2.20 indicates a return to selling pressure.