Data from Dune Analytics tells a compelling story: prediction markets absolutely exploded in 2025. Now we're witnessing something different—the market has matured into a structured landscape. Two platforms have established clear dominance, creating what amounts to a stable duopoly in the space. Polymarket and Kalshi? They're the anchors, setting the standard for how prediction markets operate at scale. But here's what's interesting: they're not alone anymore. A wave of strong competitors has emerged, each carving out their niche and pushing the boundaries of what prediction markets can do. The ecosystem is diversifying, and that's reshaping everything about how participants engage with these platforms.
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Rugman_Walking
· 01-15 20:17
Polymarket has really benefited from a lot of dividends. Are the new waves coming up now?
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InfraVibes
· 01-15 20:16
Polymarket has really become more competitive over the past two years, and other platforms are also struggling to carve out their own niche.
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LuckyHashValue
· 01-15 20:15
Polymarket and Kalshi won't have a monopoly for long; new players are already gearing up.
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SighingCashier
· 01-15 20:12
The prediction market's recent surge is indeed crazy; the days of Poly and Kalshi monopolizing the market are probably over.
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RektRecovery
· 01-15 20:10
ngl, the "duopoly" framing is just security theater at this point. seen this plot before—two big players, feels stable, then boom, architectural flaw nobody spotted. polymarket's already had its moments. what happens when the next competitor gets clever about exploiting their risk surface? predictable vulnerability wrapped in growth metrics
Data from Dune Analytics tells a compelling story: prediction markets absolutely exploded in 2025. Now we're witnessing something different—the market has matured into a structured landscape. Two platforms have established clear dominance, creating what amounts to a stable duopoly in the space. Polymarket and Kalshi? They're the anchors, setting the standard for how prediction markets operate at scale. But here's what's interesting: they're not alone anymore. A wave of strong competitors has emerged, each carving out their niche and pushing the boundaries of what prediction markets can do. The ecosystem is diversifying, and that's reshaping everything about how participants engage with these platforms.