2026-01-15 19:50:19

In the next six months, many traders will be paying attention to an interesting phenomenon—the potential chain reaction caused by the decline in US core CPI data. $BTC and $ETH, as representatives of risk assets, are often particularly sensitive to monetary policy expectations. Weak economic data usually imply an earlier cycle of interest rate cuts, which will have a positive feedback effect on the liquidity environment of the crypto market. Simply put, expectations of easing often boost risk assets. The macroeconomic data rhythm over the next half year will be very critical, and participants in the crypto market need to closely monitor the interaction between these economic indicators and market sentiment.

BTC-1,4%

ETH-1,91%

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BTCWaveRider

· 6h ago

Prices are not rising but falling? The Fed might seriously consider cutting interest rates now haha --- A decline in CPI is a signal to us, and there might really be a loosening cycle coming --- Wait, does this mean hot money might flow back into risk assets again? --- The key still depends on the data trend in the next few months, one data point can't tell the whole story --- Whether Bitcoin can seize this liquidity dividend depends on how the Fed acts --- I'm a bit skeptical about the economic data, I still feel some numbers haven't been calculated correctly --- With expectations of rate cuts, risk assets should rise, crypto profits while lying down? Not necessarily haha --- Huh, prices are not rising but decreasing, that's quite rare --- The half-year data trend is very important, I'm also keeping an eye on it

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GasWaster69

· 14h ago

The expectation of rate cuts causes BTC to soar immediately; we're all tired of this routine. --- So, does a low CPI directly indicate liquidity? Feels like it's not that simple. --- Here we go again, easing expectations, positive feedback, but in the end, it all depends on the Fed's stance. --- Is the half-year market all about macro data? It’s like technical analysis is completely useless. --- Liquidity comes in and immediately dumps; I really can't understand this cycle. --- Why hasn't the coin price surged after CPI dropped? Was I just cut again? --- Monitoring economic indicators is important, but don't forget about black swans, brother. --- Is a rate cut coming? I bet five bucks that next week there will be some negative news causing trouble.

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WalletManager

· 14h ago

Hi, the CPI being below expectations... I saw the signals on-chain early, but the market reaction is still too slow. Is the rate cut cycle moving up? Hold tight to your BTC, that's the hard logic. As liquidity flows rise, positions need to be in place early. Honestly, macro data timing is indeed crucial, but even more important is where your private keys are—have you configured your multi-signature wallet? Asset allocation should be based on science, not following the trend. My portfolio structure has long been adjusted according to risk factors. Don't just focus on CPI; the real risk lies in the vulnerabilities of cross-chain bridges, brother.

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OnChainDetective

· 14h ago

Is the decline in core CPI really just due to expectations of interest rate cuts? I've been monitoring large transfers and feel like someone might have known the news in advance.

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AirdropChaser

· 14h ago

The expectation of interest rate cuts has arisen, so BTC has to take off.

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NFTPessimist

· 14h ago

Core CPI underperforms expectations, this wave is really worth watching. Whether BTC can break new highs depends on the macro rhythm over the next six months. Once the expectation of interest rate cuts emerged, liquidity loosened up, and we speculators love this setup. Speaking of which, it feels like the market response is a bit slow, why hasn't it surged yet? How long can this round last? It always seems like good news comes quickly and goes just as fast. Loose policies have always been the spring breeze in the crypto world, waiting for takeoff. Actually, the CPI data should have dropped long ago; it's a bit late to react now. Wait, could it be a false signal again? With so many pitfalls in history, we must stay cautious.

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PumpStrategist

· 14h ago

Core CPI underperforms expectations, signaling a dovish stance clearly. But can this wave of gains really last until the end of the year? I have my doubts. The pattern is formed, and the chip distribution shows institutions have already started building positions at 3800 points—an interesting level. Are we starting to talk about interest rate cuts again? To be honest, I heard this logic last year. Does anyone still believe it [laughs]? Macroeconomic data rhythm is very important— isn’t that obvious? The question is, will you actually analyze it, or just follow the trend and pray? Lower CPI = interest rate cuts = crypto rally? Typical retail thinking. The FOMC’s attitude is still awaiting final confirmation; don’t rush to go all-in.

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DAOdreamer

· 14h ago

Once the rate cut expectation emerges, the crypto circle starts to get restless. This routine is too familiar. Weak CPI is actually a positive? Alright, let's wait and see how BTC performs. The rhythm of macro data is the real market mover; retail investors like us can only follow the trend. In the past six months, we must closely watch every move of the Federal Reserve, or we risk getting caught off guard. The most direct effect of liquidity easing is that last time, during a rate cut cycle, crypto prices soared. Can it happen again this time? Basically, it's a gamble on whether the Federal Reserve will be soft-hearted, and the crypto market will follow and eat up the gains.

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