2026-01-15 20:34:07

Honestly, it's time to reduce your holdings.

In this cycle, the prices of many cryptocurrencies today might represent the quarterly high. It seems crazy, but this is the normal state of the market—when capital flows intensely into a certain direction, rationality is often thrown out the window.

Capital is like a fluid. It tends to gather where the returns are highest. When chasing gains, no one thinks about the downside until everyone wakes up. By then, it's already too late.

The surge phase indeed causes people to lose judgment. FOMO emotions overshadow everything; everyone thinks they are experts and believe they can sell at the top. But the reality is, the vast majority will end up as the last bagholders. It's time to clear your positions when needed—don't wait for a pullback and regret it later.

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EthSandwichHero

· 5h ago

Wake up, it's really time to run, or you'll be the one holding the bag. This wave of gains is too outrageous, it feels like everyone is betting that it will keep rising in the next second, but often that's when the market turns its back. FOMO is really poison; seeing others make money makes you want to go all in, but what’s the result? Most people get trapped at the top. To be blunt, those who clear their positions now will be glad they woke up in three months, while those still stubbornly holding... haha. Funds are just greed; at the high points, you always think it can go higher, until no one is willing to buy the dip. I'm serious, it's really time to reduce your holdings. Don’t wait for a pullback to cry; if you sell now, there’s still a chance.

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ser_ngmi

· 6h ago

Listen, I'm starting to sell now. I don't want to be the last leek. Really, this rally looks exciting but it's too dangerous. My friends are still going all-in. Wake up, everyone. FOMO really can kill people. I was trapped like this last time. Aren't you going to learn your lesson? Basically, it's greed. Clearly, I should have sold but I was waiting for the next limit-up. I believe you all can escape the top this time, but I definitely don't trust myself anymore haha. The sooner you clear your positions, the better. Don't wait for a crash to cry. It's always the same. Once it hits the top, I start self-hypnotizing, and end up losing everything. The list of bagholders probably just got longer, but I definitely won't be on it.

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MeaninglessApe

· 7h ago

Coming back with this again? I've already offloaded half of my position, and the rest is just for gambling.

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BlockchainDecoder

· 7h ago

According to the dynamic model of capital flow, the author's viewpoint is indeed valid. It is worth noting that historical data shows that over 78% of retail investors only reduce their positions at the cycle top, which precisely confirms the existence of the herd effect. However, from a technical perspective, relying solely on time cycles to determine the peak is still too absolute.

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