Could XRP Fall To $0.80? What Blockchain Metrics Suggest

Cryptocurrency researcher Ali Martinez recently highlighted several warning signals from XRP’s network that could potentially trigger a significant price correction. The analysis centers on three critical on-chain metrics that together paint a concerning picture for the leading altcoin.

Network Participation Is Waning

The first red flag comes from a marked decline in blockchain engagement. According to Martinez’s research, the number of unique addresses conducting daily transactions on the XRP network has dwindled to approximately 38,500. This metric—known as Active Addresses—serves as a vital barometer for ecosystem interest. When this indicator contracts, it typically signals diminishing investor enthusiasm and reduced trading momentum.

A shrinking user base participating in network activity often precedes price weakness, as it suggests that retail and institutional players alike are losing conviction in the asset.

Large Holders Are Moving Out

Perhaps more telling is the behavior of major stakeholders. Data reveals that substantial investors—often called whales due to their enormous position sizes—have recently offloaded roughly 40 million XRP tokens. This mass selling from large-cap holders is particularly noteworthy because their decisions frequently influence market psychology and liquidity conditions. When these influential accounts head for the exits, it often reflects eroding confidence among sophisticated players who hold sway over the market’s direction.

A Critical Price Level Looms

Martinez’s third observation involves the Realized Price Distribution (URPD), an indicator revealing where historical buyers accumulated their positions across different price points. The data shows substantial supply concentration around $1.77—disturbingly close to current levels. Should XRP slip below this threshold, previous buyers trapped near that price could face accumulated losses, potentially triggering panic selling.

“If selling pressure intensifies and breaches the $1.77 support zone, the next significant demand cluster sits considerably lower,” Martinez noted, pinpointing $0.80 as the next major floor.

Current Market Position

At press time, XRP trades around $2.06, having recovered somewhat from recent pressure. However, the combination of weakening network activity, whale liquidations, and vulnerable overhead supply creates a scenario where downside risk cannot be dismissed. The $1.77-$0.80 trading range may define the coming period for holders and traders.