📊 Core Snapshot (2026-01-16 04:56)

• Current price **$3294.5**, 24-hour **-2.1%**; intraday volatility $3274-$3393.09**; Market cap **$397.6B**, trading volume **$623.8M**.

• Short-term high-level oscillation, long and short battles, medium-term upward trend intact, key focus on突破/失守 of 3270-3300 support and 3360-3400 resistance.

📈 Technical Highlights

• Key zones: Support at 3270-3300 (upper edge of previous consolidation platform, strong support), break below to watch 3200-3250; Resistance at 3360-3400 (previous high pressure),突破上看3450-3500.

• Indicators: RSI≈64 (neutral leaning bullish, near overbought, beware of pullback); daily MACD bullish柱, 4-hour momentum diminishing; price above short-term EMA, support effective.

• Pattern: High-level consolidation, waiting for volume breakout or pullback confirmation, no clear trend continuation signal.

💰 Capital and News

• Capital: ETH ETF funds flowing back, net inflow about $5.04 million on January 12, ending three consecutive days of net outflow, spot ETF total net inflow of $12.44 billion, institutional allocation demand remains.

• Sentiment and correlation: Market greed index 61, funds favor BTC, ETH highly correlated, volatility driven by BTC.

• Risks: Macro disturbances like Japan rate hikes, regulatory policy changes, ETF fund outflows again, may trigger pullback.

🧭 Trading Suggestions

• Short-term: Do not chase highs, if pullback stabilizes at 3270-3300 with volume, consider light long positions; reduce positions on resistance at 3360-3400, stop loss below 3270.

• Mid-term: Hold mainly, defend if below 3200, add on突破3400 and retest confirmation, target 3500+.

• Risk control: Position ≤30%, single stop loss 3%-5%, beware of black swan shocks.

Do you want me to turn the key levels (3270/3300/3360/3400) into a simple trigger-based action checklist? You can follow that. $ETH