**Silver Fund Premium Reaches Extreme Levels as Guotai Halts Trading to Cool Market Frenzy**



The secondary market for silver-focused funds has entered dangerous territory. Guotai Silver LOF announced a trading suspension commencing at market open on December 26, with operations resuming at 10:30 AM—a move designed to pump the brakes on runaway valuations that have decoupled dramatically from underlying asset values.

The scale of the rally is striking. Spot silver in London surged to $71.81 per ounce on the 24th, marking a year-to-date surge exceeding 140%. Yet Guotai Silver LOF's share price climbed even faster, delivering a staggering 254.9% year-to-date return. The premium stretched to 68.19% as investors chased gains, with the fund hitting its daily trading ceiling for three straight sessions—a telltale sign of speculative fervor rather than fundamental value accumulation.

Recognizing this disconnect, fund management issued a candid warning. Investors face acute downside risk if sentiment reverses. The fund has also tightened Class A subscription limits to 500 yuan per account, a defensive measure signaling internal concerns about sustainability. Similar dynamics have rippled across commodity and resource-focused LOFs, with multiple funds suspending operations and issuing premium-related cautions.

The core issue: secondary market trading can detach sharply from net asset value when retail enthusiasm overwhelms rational pricing. The 10:30 AM resumption window provides a reset moment, but the underlying message from fund managers remains unambiguous—premium expansion of this magnitude rarely ends gracefully. Prudent investors should weigh downside scenarios alongside upside dreams.
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