2026-01-15 21:24:33

From a bullish perspective, there are many favorable factors for recent BTC movements. In the past few days, ETF net inflows have continued at high levels, with a single-day peak reaching 843M, and a total of over 1.7B in three days, indicating clear signs of institutional accumulation at low levels. This structural support is crucial for BTC to hold above 95k.

The macro environment is also cooperating. The Federal Reserve's potential rate cut expectations still exist, and there may be new developments regarding the Clarity Act later this month. BTC's safe-haven attribute as "digital gold" remains attractive.

On the technical side, 95k has become a strong support level. Multiple tests have not broken it, indicating buying interest is holding. Once BTC stabilizes in the 96.5k-97k range, the next target points to the psychological levels of 98k-100k. Looking at the overall trend since January, the main expectation is a broad consolidation in the 90k-105k range, with a higher probability of an upper boundary.

However, bulls should not be overly optimistic. Risks do exist. 98k is a recent strong resistance; false breakouts often lead to quick pullbacks that trap and shake out traders. The current price has already touched the upper band, and in the short term, a correction to digest pressure is possible, with 95k, 94.5k, or even 93k midline as potential pullback points.

Contract traders need to be especially cautious. With high leverage (over 10x), a 5% correction can wipe out half of the position. The 24-hour low has already tested 95400, and below that, 94k is a psychological level combined with a dense volume zone. Although funding rates are not high, sustained sideways movement or small declines will gradually increase the cost for bulls, potentially triggering forced liquidations and small waterfall drops.

Finally, don't forget the black swan risks. Employment data, Federal Reserve officials' statements, geopolitical tensions—any of these can trigger a rapid flash crash.

BTC-1,4%

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mev_me_maybe

· 12h ago

Institutions are bottom-fishing at low levels; this wave is indeed quite interesting. However, brothers using high leverage need to be very careful—just a 5% pullback can lead to liquidation. I've seen too many such tragedies. --- ETF inflows of 1.7B sound like good news, but that 98k resistance level looks like a trap to me—don't get caught off guard. --- It's another rate cut expectation and the Clarity Act. How have these themes been hyped for so long without actual implementation? Is it real or just hype? --- I need to set some stop-loss points around the 93k midline; otherwise, it'll be too late once the liquidation wave hits. --- No one can predict when a black swan will arrive. On that employment data day, I just went all-in on cash and relaxed. --- This article covers the risks quite thoroughly, but I just want to know where exactly to set my stop-loss. --- The net inflow of 1.7B is indeed a top, but maintaining 95k depends entirely on these institutions not withdrawing. Once they do, the bottom will be in. --- Playing with fire under high leverage is really not worth it—one flash crash and you're back to square one. --- The explanation of the accumulated pressure from funding rates is very good. Many people don't pay attention to this detail at all—only to regret it when it blows up.

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BagHolderTillRetire

· 12h ago

I was convinced by the institution's takeover routine, but is the 98k iron dome really that solid? Feels like they say this every time. --- Instead of watching ETF net inflows, better check how much principal you still have left... --- Black swan, black swan, why do you keep loving to hit me on the head? --- Reading this article with 10x leverage is just asking for death. I advise you not to try. --- What does it matter if 95k holds? Anyway, I got trapped at 97k, now just waiting to recover. --- Federal Reserve rate cuts, Clarity Act... after all this talk, it's better to see how much I spent on today’s meal. --- A 5% correction and half my position gets liquidated. How is that math? Before leveraging, go to elementary school first. --- Only this kind of analysis, a bunch of bullish arguments, with risks listed in great detail. Is it here to boost confidence or to scare people? --- Why weren’t you so cautious when expecting a rise? Now you’re telling me not to be too optimistic? --- Oh my god, it’s about to crash again. I was even thinking of buying a house at 100k.

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MidnightSeller

· 12h ago

Institutions are really stepping in, but I don't believe that the 98k resistance can be broken. Fake breakouts and short squeezes are too common with this pattern. --- 1.7B in inflow sounds impressive, but 95k has held for so long with no real progress. The sideways trading is exhausting. --- The rate cut expectations have been hyped up for a while. Now it's just about watching the black swan. The accumulated rate pressure makes it easy for issues to arise. --- High-leverage traders really should read this article. A 5% correction can lead to liquidation, which is not worth the risk. --- 93k mid-range? I think they'll test 92k. This pattern is too standard. --- The technical support is well written, but when has the market ever followed the textbook exactly? There are always surprises. --- This wave of Bitcoin is just the prelude to institutions cutting the leeks. Don't be too confident that 95k will hold.

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ShortingEnthusiast

· 12h ago

Institutional takeover is real, but don’t be fooled by 98k. That strong support has long been waiting to lure more buyers. --- If 95k doesn’t hold, next time it could be 93k. At that point, the leverage guys will be forced to liquidate again. --- As for the black swan event, betting against the Federal Reserve is less important than protecting your life. --- That 1.7B inflow looks fierce, but then a single employment report comes out completely flat. --- At the critical level of 96.5-97k, I bet it won’t break. --- Playing with high leverage is dangerous; a 5% correction could wipe you out. It’s too intense. --- Digital gold has been around for so many years, but in critical moments, it still can’t outrun the black swan. --- The most disgusting thing is the accumulated pressure from funding rates. Just three or five days of sideways movement and the bulls’ blood pressure rises.

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IronHeadMiner

· 13h ago

Institutions are so aggressive in taking over, why do they keep pushing down? --- If 95k can't hold, then the bullish story will have to be rewritten. --- Talking about black swans every day, only to regret not reducing positions when it actually happens. --- Playing with high leverage here is just asking for death, I've already cleared out. --- ETF inflows are indeed strong, but can they withstand next week's non-farm payroll report? --- I believe in the 98k strong resistance, but the question is, where will it drop to before reaching 98k? --- Let's wait and see, 90k is not even the bottom. --- Whether the rate cut expectation exists or not depends on the Fed's stance; it can change at any time. --- This analysis is the same as last week’s saying 100k is a psychological barrier; in the end, it’s just a pullback. --- Just watch and see, no matter how it moves, some will make money and some will lose.

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rekt_but_not_broke

· 13h ago

Institutions' recent buying spree is quite aggressive, but I still need to see if 98k can hold before making any conclusions. --- High leverage is really a gambler's game; liquidation can happen in an instant. --- It would be great if the Clarity Act actually makes progress, but honestly, I've heard this kind of expectation too many times. --- Holding at 95k for so long does seem a bit stable, but a black swan could wipe everything out. --- The detail about the funding rate accumulation is spot on; sideways trading kills the most people, really the harshest. --- 98k is the ceiling, 100k is the dream, and everything in between is a trap. Be cautious. --- Large ETF inflows are indeed a signal, but signals can also fail sometimes. --- I'm somewhat interested in the 93k midline; if there's a pullback, that's where I’ll buy the dip. --- One word from the Federal Reserve, and the chart turns completely white; don’t rely too much on technical analysis.

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SilentObserver

· 13h ago

Institutions are accumulating at the lows, holding steady at 95k, and it feels like this wave could push higher. The fake breakout at 98k is really misleading; last time, I was caught off guard and got caught. High leverage is really risky—one black swan event and it's all over. Is the Clarity Act coming out? That could trigger another wave of market movement. Breaking through 94k is the key; it seems like the recent performance depends on this level. A 5% correction leads to liquidation; why are some people still using tenfold leverage? The Fed's rate cut expectations are in place, at least psychologically reducing panic. Looking at the ETF net inflows, the bulls are indeed optimistic, but I worry about a sudden negative news event. The psychological level at 100k is a hurdle, but the probability doesn't seem small. The pressure from accumulated funding rates is a bit terrifying; staying steady is the safest.

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