#数字资产市场动态 Altcoin market cycle is getting shorter? Recently, some institutional data has shown a very interesting phenomenon.

The average rally cycle for altcoins in 2025 has been compressed to 19-20 days, compared to 60 days in 2024, a reduction of more than half. The underlying logic is quite clear—large-cap coins are supported by continuous institutional and ETF buying, making them appear safer and more stable, and retail funds are gradually shifting towards these. The appeal of small-cap coins is clearly declining.

This change can also be felt in the derivatives market. The open interest in futures contracts has decreased by about 55%, and the direct consequence of insufficient liquidity is—markets come quickly and go just as fast, igniting like fireworks and then quickly dissipating. The upward trend has turned into short-term trading, with stop-losses frequently triggered, making market rhythm very rapid.

To see a sustained rebound in altcoins? Basically, three conditions need to be met simultaneously: institutional funds entering, retail enthusiasm returning, and a relatively stable macro environment. Without any one of these, the altcoin market will still exhibit short-lived performance. This also explains why many people’s profit expectations on altcoins have recently generally declined.