#Strategy加仓BTC Market Recap for January 16, 2026.

From a short-term perspective, the previously emphasized long strategy has already reached 97,000 USDT, and currently 94,000 USDT has become a key support level. Continuing to add long positions carries significant risk, so it is advisable to keep positions light or stay on the sidelines.

A core reminder: before the certainty of the 4-year cycle disappears, it’s important to trust the 4-year cycle logic, with risk management as the top priority. Maintain spot holdings with over 90% BTC allocation; this is the basic stance.

One saying I want to share—not争ing (arguing) is top-level cognition. Don’t争 right or wrong on the first floor; viewing the scenery from the 20th floor is wisdom. Treat noise as signals, rather than treating real signals as trends. Proactively exit low-dimensional consumption battles and safeguard high-dimensional goals; only then can you live thoroughly.

BTC’s current trend shows a high degree of synchronization. Patience is key.

From a long-term perspective, the opportunity to short at high levels still requires waiting. The bullish trend is strengthening, and the next long-term short position will be the real opportunity to act. The altcoin index is currently stuck at 39; buy signals have not yet appeared, so observe quietly. There is no reason to touch altcoins now.

Personally, I have allocated about 30% of my position in Lit near 2.1 USDT.

Within the 4-year cycle, BTC retesting the 80,000 USDT support level is inevitable. Only if this support is effectively validated can the third wave of rally begin, targeting the 120,000 USDT mark. Conversely, if BTC tests 80,000 USDT again, or even drops below 70,000, 60,000, or 50,000 USDT, the decline in altcoins can only be described as bloodshed. Therefore, until the 4-year cycle clearly fails, trusting this cycle theory is the best way to safeguard your funds.

Disclaimer: This is only personal opinion and not investment advice. $BTC